Football · Finland Kolmonen · 25/09, 17:00

Prediction: NuPS vs PPJ/Ruoholahti

Team pages: NuPS · PPJ/Ruoholahti

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.79Total

NuPS2.05

PPJ/Ruoholahti1.74

1X2

45% 22% 33%

NuPS Draw PPJ/Ruoholahti

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

NuPS 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWWLLLDWLL

PPJ/Ruoholahti 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLWLLW

Head-to-head

NuPS 2–1 PPJ/Ruoholahti (3 last)

PPJ/Ruoholahti1-6NuPS
NuPS0-1PPJ/Ruoholahti
PPJ/Ruoholahti0-2NuPS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NuPS 1480 · PPJ/Ruoholahti 1457

	NuPS	Draw	PPJ/Ruoholahti
Our model	45%	23%	32%
Market	45%	22%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.79 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours NuPS: 2-0-1.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NuPS	PPJ/Ruoholahti
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.8	1.8 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	14/43/43%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.1	3.5 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X4.10

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
01:56 +10’	2.00	4.10	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · NuPS 2–0–1 PPJ/Ruoholahti

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/06/26 Finland Kolmonen	PPJ/Ruoholahti	1-6 HT 1-3	NuPS
21/09/24 Finland Kolmonen	NuPS	0-1 HT 0-0	PPJ/Ruoholahti
12/06/24 Finland Kolmonen	PPJ/Ruoholahti	0-2 HT 0-1	NuPS

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EIF Academy	20	14	4	2	69	28	46
2	ESPA	20	12	3	5	43	23	39
3	LePa	20	11	3	6	41	34	36
4	Poxyt	20	10	2	8	43	41	32
5	LOPA	20	9	3	8	34	34	30
6	Gilla FC	20	8	3	9	48	42	27
7	NuPS	20	7	5	8	31	31	26
8	GrIFK Reservi	20	8	2	10	36	41	26
9	PPJ/Ruoholahti	20	6	3	11	31	50	21
10	HooGee	20	6	2	12	37	51	20
11	EPS Reservi	20	5	5	10	30	52	20
12	MPS	20	4	5	11	22	38	17

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NuPS	PPJ/Ruoholahti
Poxyt	1-2 L	2-1 W
Gilla FC	0-5 L	0-2 L
EPS Reservi	2-0 W	5-1 W
LoPa	2-2 D	1-2 L
LePa	0-1 L	4-3 W
EIF Academy	0-2 L	0-4 L
ESPA	0-2 L	0-1 L
HooGee	4-3 W	3-2 W
GrIFK Reservi	3-0 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 5 L	4 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: PPJ/Ruoholahti (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NuPS

WWWLLLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	–	1-2	–	–	L
12/09	Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-5	7	7	L
04/09	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	–	2-0	–	–	W
28/08	LoPa Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-2	3	7	D
21/08	LePa Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
14/08	EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
07/08	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
31/07	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	1-1	4-3	4	4	W
03/07	GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen	–	3-0	–	–	W
25/06	PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen	3-1	6-1	7	1	W

PPJ/Ruoholahti

WLLWLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/09	LePa Finland Kolmonen	2-2	4-3	11	3	W
11/09	LOPA Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-2	3	3	L
04/09	MPS Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-3	5	2	L
27/08	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	4	1	W
20/08	Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-2	8	2	L
16/08	GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-3	6	1	L
06/08	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-2	9	2	W
31/07	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
27/07	EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-4	5	1	L
03/07	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-1	5-1	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NuPS vs PPJ/Ruoholahti?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NuPS win (45%). Probabilities: NuPS 45%, draw 22%, PPJ/Ruoholahti 33%.

How many goals are expected in NuPS vs PPJ/Ruoholahti?

The model expects 3.79 goals (NuPS 2.05 · PPJ/Ruoholahti 1.74), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in NuPS vs PPJ/Ruoholahti?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.