Football · Finland Kolmonen · 27/08, 19:00

Prediction: PPJ/Ruoholahti vs Poxyt

Team pages: PPJ/Ruoholahti · Poxyt

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.99Total

PPJ/Ruoholahti1.73

Poxyt2.26

1X2

30% 21% 50%

PPJ/Ruoholahti Draw Poxyt

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

PPJ/Ruoholahti 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

DWLLWLLWLL

Poxyt 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWLWDL

Head-to-head

PPJ/Ruoholahti 0–1 Poxyt (1 last)

Poxyt3-0PPJ/Ruoholahti

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PPJ/Ruoholahti 1446 · Poxyt 1462

	PPJ/Ruoholahti	Draw	Poxyt
Our model	29%	22%	49%
Market	30%	20%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 3.99 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	PPJ/Ruoholahti	Poxyt
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.2	1.7 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.7 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	22/11/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.3	2.1 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.1	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.00

X4.50

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.80

Under 3.752.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:42 +22’	3.00	4.50	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · PPJ/Ruoholahti 0–0–1 Poxyt

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	Poxyt	3-0 HT 0-0	PPJ/Ruoholahti

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EIF Academy	16	12	2	2	59	22	38
2	ESPA	16	12	2	2	41	14	38
3	LePa	16	10	2	4	35	28	32
4	Poxyt	16	8	2	6	35	34	26
5	LoPa	16	7	2	7	26	26	23
6	NuPS	16	6	4	6	26	22	22
7	GrIFK Reservi	16	6	2	8	30	31	20
8	Gilla FC	16	6	2	8	32	35	20
9	PPJ/Ruoholahti	16	4	3	9	23	41	15
10	MPS	16	3	4	9	15	29	13
11	HooGee	16	4	1	11	29	45	13
12	EPS Reservi	16	3	4	9	22	46	13

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PPJ/Ruoholahti	Poxyt
Gilla FC	0-2 L	3-1 W
GrIFK Reservi	2-3 L	1-3 L
HooGee	3-2 W	2-1 W
ESPA	0-1 L	1-4 L
EIF Academy	0-4 L	3-7 L
EPS Reservi	5-1 W	2-2 D
NuPS	1-6 L	2-1 W
LePa	1-3 L	1-5 L
LoPa	3-0 W	0-2 L
MPS	0-0 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 6 L	3 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: PPJ/Ruoholahti (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PPJ/Ruoholahti

DWLLWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/08	Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-2	8	2	L
16/08	GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-3	6	1	L
06/08	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-2	9	2	W
31/07	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
27/07	EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-4	5	1	L
03/07	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-1	5-1	4	3	W
25/06	NuPS Finland Kolmonen	1-3	1-6	2	1	L
10/06	LePa Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-3	10	4	L
04/06	LoPa Finland Kolmonen	0-0	3-0	4	6	W
28/05	MPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	4	0	D

Poxyt

LLWLLWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-3	5	4	L
16/08	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-2	6	2	D
08/08	Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen	–	3-1	–	–	W
31/07	LePa Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-5	2	2	L
23/07	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
28/06	MPS Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-3	2	2	L
16/06	LoPa Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	0	3	L
10/06	NuPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-1	4	1	W
05/06	EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen	2-4	3-7	1	4	L
29/05	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-4	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PPJ/Ruoholahti vs Poxyt?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Poxyt win (50%). Probabilities: PPJ/Ruoholahti 30%, draw 21%, Poxyt 50%.

How many goals are expected in PPJ/Ruoholahti vs Poxyt?

The model expects 3.99 goals (PPJ/Ruoholahti 1.73 · Poxyt 2.26), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in PPJ/Ruoholahti vs Poxyt?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.