Football · Finland Kolmonen · 24/09, 18:00

Prediction: EIF Academy vs HooGee

Team pages: EIF Academy · HooGee

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.47Total

EIF Academy2.98

HooGee1.49

1X2

67% 16% 16%

EIF Academy Draw HooGee

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

EIF Academy 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWDDDWW

HooGee 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWLWDW

Head-to-head

EIF Academy 6–0 HooGee (6 last)

HooGee2-4EIF Academy
EIF Academy6-3HooGee
HooGee2-6EIF Academy
EIF Academy3-1HooGee
HooGee0-2EIF Academy
EIF Academy3-1HooGee

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EIF Academy 1615 · HooGee 1452

	EIF Academy	Draw	HooGee
Our model	67%	17%	16%
Market	67%	16%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 4.47 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours EIF Academy (rating 1615 vs 1452).
H2H favours EIF Academy: 6-0-0.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	EIF Academy	HooGee
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 0.9	2.3 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	1 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/11/33%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.3	3.4 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.50

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.95

2 (+1.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.88

Under 4.251.93

Diff.: 0 · xG: 4.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
02:55 +10’	1.33	5.50	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · EIF Academy 6–0–0 HooGee

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/06/26 Finland Kolmonen	HooGee	2-4 HT 1-2	EIF Academy
05/10/25 Finland Kolmonen	EIF Academy	6-3	HooGee
03/07/25 Finland Kolmonen	HooGee	2-6 HT 0-1	EIF Academy
24/07/24 Finland Kolmonen	EIF Academy	3-1 HT 0-1	HooGee
09/08/18 Finland Kolmonen	HooGee	0-2 HT 0-1	EIF Academy
02/05/18 Finland Kolmonen	EIF Academy	3-1 HT 2-0	HooGee

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EIF Academy	20	14	4	2	69	28	46
2	ESPA	20	12	3	5	43	23	39
3	LePa	20	11	3	6	41	34	36
4	Poxyt	20	10	2	8	43	41	32
5	LOPA	20	9	3	8	34	34	30
6	Gilla FC	20	8	3	9	48	42	27
7	NuPS	20	7	5	8	31	31	26
8	GrIFK Reservi	20	8	2	10	36	41	26
9	PPJ/Ruoholahti	20	6	3	11	31	50	21
10	HooGee	20	6	2	12	37	51	20
11	EPS Reservi	20	5	5	10	30	52	20
12	MPS	20	4	5	11	22	38	17

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	EIF Academy	HooGee
Gilla FC	4-2 W	3-6 L
Poxyt	4-2 W	1-2 L
LePa	1-1 D	4-5 L
ESPA	1-1 D	2-0 W
LoPa	2-2 D	3-1 W
NuPS	2-0 W	3-4 L
EPS Reservi	3-0 W	2-0 W
GrIFK Reservi	2-1 W	0-2 L
PPJ/Ruoholahti	4-0 W	2-3 L
MPS	4-0 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	7 W 3 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: EIF Academy (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EIF Academy

WWWWWDDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/09	Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen	0-1	4-2	5	5	W
11/09	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	1-2	4-2	1	1	W
03/09	LePa Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-1	5	2	D
28/08	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/08	LoPa Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-2	15	0	D
14/08	NuPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
06/08	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-0	7	1	W
30/07	GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-1	5	8	W
27/07	PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	4	1	W
01/07	MPS Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	3	4	W

HooGee

LLLLLWLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/09	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-0	6	3	W
10/09	MPS Finland Kolmonen	1-2	3-3	14	2	D
03/09	LoPa Finland Kolmonen	0-1	3-1	8	4	W
30/08	GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
20/08	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-0	5	4	W
13/08	LePa Finland Kolmonen	0-2	4-5	3	3	L
06/08	PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-3	2	2	L
31/07	NuPS Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-4	1	4	L
23/07	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-2	6	4	L
01/07	Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen	2-3	3-6	7	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EIF Academy vs HooGee?

According to our model, the most likely result is a EIF Academy win (67%). Probabilities: EIF Academy 67%, draw 16%, HooGee 16%.

How many goals are expected in EIF Academy vs HooGee?

The model expects 4.47 goals (EIF Academy 2.98 · HooGee 1.49), with a 51% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in EIF Academy vs HooGee?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.