Football · Finland Kolmonen · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: Kajha vs Villan Pojat

Team pages: Kajha · Villan Pojat

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.11Total
Kajha2.77
Villan Pojat1.34
1X2
67% 17% 16%
Kajha Draw Villan Pojat
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Kajha 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
WLWWWLWLWW
Villan Pojat 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DWDWDLLWWW
Head-to-head
Kajha 3–1 Villan Pojat (4 last)
  • Villan Pojat1-0Kajha
  • Kajha4-0Villan Pojat
  • Villan Pojat1-3Kajha
  • Villan Pojat0-2Kajha
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kajha 1570 · Villan Pojat 1527
KajhaDrawVillan Pojat
Our model67%18%16%
Market67%16%16%
Estimated total (ours) 4.11 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kajha (rating 1570 vs 1527).
  • H2H favours Kajha: 3-0-1.
  • High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KajhaVillan Pojat
Goals for / against (FT)3.8 / 1.22 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0 / 10.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/0/100%25/50/25%
Corners (HT / FT)3.3 / 8.31.8 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 02.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kajha 301 Villan Pojat

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/05/26
Finland Kolmonen
Villan Pojat1-0Kajha
07/09/25
Finland Kolmonen
Kajha4-0Villan Pojat
14/06/25
Finland Kolmonen
Villan Pojat1-3
HT 0-1
Kajha
18/09/24
Finland Kolmonen
Villan Pojat0-2
HT 0-2
Kajha

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, North Group

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Kajha 10703 381221
2 HauPa 10532 321218
3 Villan Pojat 10532 201418
4 KePS 10523 281517
5 KaPa Kajaani 10514 351316
6 Hercules-J 11425 182614
7 RoPo 9414 191613
8 Ajax Sarkkiranta 9414 141713
9 Santa Claus 10136 7356
10 PonPa 9027 7582

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKajhaVillan Pojat
Ajax Sarkkiranta 3-1 W 2-2 D
Santa Claus 8-0 W 3-0 W
KePS 3-4 L 2-1 W
HauPa 3-2 W 1-2 L
RoPo 1-3 L 5-1 W
KaPa Kajaani 2-1 W 0-5 L
PonPa 5-0 W 2-2 D
Hercules-J 8-0 W 3-0 W
Record vs common 6 W 0 D 2 L 4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kajha (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kajha

WLWWWLWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Ajax Sarkkiranta
Finland Kolmonen
3-1 W
11/07 Santa Claus
Finland Kolmonen
8-0 W
05/07 KePS
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 3-4 84 L
27/06 HauPa
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 3-2 113 W
13/06 RoPo
Finland Kolmonen
1-3 L
03/06 KaPa Kajaani
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 2-1 67 W
23/05 PonPa
Finland Kolmonen
5-0 W
16/05 Hercules-J
Finland Kolmonen
8-0 W
09/05 Villan Pojat
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 L
25/04 Ajax Sarkkiranta
Finland Kolmonen
5-0 W

Villan Pojat

DWDWDLLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 RoPo
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 5-1 20 W
18/07 Santa Claus
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 W
11/07 KePS
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 2-1 46 W
04/07 HauPa
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 1-2 33 L
13/06 KaPa Kajaani
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-5 82 L
06/06 PonPa
Finland Kolmonen
2-2 D
28/05 Hercules-J
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 W
16/05 Ajax Sarkkiranta
Finland Kolmonen
2-2 D
09/05 Kajha
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 W
25/04 Santa Claus
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kajha vs Villan Pojat?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kajha win (67%). Probabilities: Kajha 67%, draw 17%, Villan Pojat 16%.

How many goals are expected in Kajha vs Villan Pojat?

The model expects 4.11 goals (Kajha 2.77 · Villan Pojat 1.34), with a 54% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Kajha vs Villan Pojat?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.