Football · Finland Kolmonen · 09/08, 14:00

Prediction: Sporting Kristina vs VPV Pallo-Veikot

Team pages: Sporting Kristina · VPV Pallo-Veikot

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Sporting Kristina1.84

VPV Pallo-Veikot1.31

1X2

49% 24% 27%

Sporting Kristina Draw VPV Pallo-Veikot

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sporting Kristina 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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VPV Pallo-Veikot 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWDLDWWLLW

Head-to-head

Sporting Kristina 3–1–2 VPV Pallo-Veikot (6 last)

VPV Pallo-Veikot1-4Sporting Kristina
Sporting Kristina2-2VPV Pallo-Veikot
VPV Pallo-Veikot1-5Sporting Kristina
VPV Pallo-Veikot7-2Sporting Kristina
VPV Pallo-Veikot0-2Sporting Kristina
Sporting Kristina0-2VPV Pallo-Veikot

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sporting Kristina 1526 · VPV Pallo-Veikot 1487

	Sporting Kristina	Draw	VPV Pallo-Veikot
Our model	49%	25%	26%
Market	50%	23%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sporting Kristina: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sporting Kristina	VPV Pallo-Veikot
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/44/11%	33/44/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.8	1.7 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.90

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	4.10 → 3.90▼	Pinn 4.14 ★
2	3.20 → 3.30▲	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
06:38 +11’	1.80	4.10	3.20
09:37 +5’	1.80	3.90▼	3.30▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:59 +2’	1.83	3.63	3.31
11:12 +1’	1.78▼	3.84▲	3.29▼
12:29 +4’	1.76▼	4.14▲	3.28▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting Kristina 3–1–2 VPV Pallo-Veikot

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	VPV Pallo-Veikot	1-4 HT 1-1	Sporting Kristina
31/07/25 Finland Kolmonen	Sporting Kristina	2-2	VPV Pallo-Veikot
07/05/25 Finland Kolmonen	VPV Pallo-Veikot	1-5 HT 0-3	Sporting Kristina
13/08/24 Finland Kolmonen	VPV Pallo-Veikot	7-2 HT 5-1	Sporting Kristina
16/06/22 Finland Kolmonen	VPV Pallo-Veikot	0-2 HT 0-1	Sporting Kristina
11/06/21 Finland Kolmonen	Sporting Kristina	0-2 HT 0-2	VPV Pallo-Veikot

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	VIFK	13	10	2	1	38	10	32
2	FC Kiisto	14	9	3	2	39	17	30
3	Virkia	13	7	2	4	25	19	23
4	FC Ylivieska	13	6	2	5	31	30	20
5	SIF	14	5	3	6	23	26	18
6	VPV Pallo-Veikot	12	5	2	5	16	17	17
7	SJK-j	14	4	4	6	21	23	16
8	Sporting Kristina	12	4	3	5	15	16	15
9	LBK	14	5	0	9	21	36	15
10	Nykarleby IK	13	3	4	6	17	32	13
11	KPV Akatemia	14	2	1	11	27	47	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sporting Kristina	VPV Pallo-Veikot
SJK-j	0-0 D	2-0 W
FC Ylivieska	0-2 L	0-4 L
SIF	1-2 L	1-1 D
Nykarleby IK	1-1 D	1-1 D
VIFK	1-0 W	1-2 L
Virkia	2-0 W	1-0 W
LBK	2-1 W	2-3 L
KPV Akatemia	3-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sporting Kristina (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sporting Kristina

WWWWLWDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/07	SJK-j Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
16/07	FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen	–	0-2	–	–	L
10/07	SIF Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-2	5	2	L
02/07	Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
15/06	VIFK Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
10/06	FC Kiisto Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-2	6	6	L
06/06	Virkia Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
27/05	LBK Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-1	2	5	W
20/05	KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-1	2	2	W
14/05	VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen	1-1	4-1	5	4	W

VPV Pallo-Veikot

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/08	KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
30/07	LBK Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-3	3	4	L
23/07	KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
16/07	Virkia Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
02/07	SJK-j Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-0	3	4	W
25/06	SIF Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-1	4	4	D
17/06	FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-4	0	3	L
11/06	Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
04/06	Sääripotku Finland Kolmonen	–	6-2	–	–	W
27/05	VIFK Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-2	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sporting Kristina vs VPV Pallo-Veikot?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sporting Kristina win (49%). Probabilities: Sporting Kristina 49%, draw 24%, VPV Pallo-Veikot 27%.

How many goals are expected in Sporting Kristina vs VPV Pallo-Veikot?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Sporting Kristina 1.84 · VPV Pallo-Veikot 1.31), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sporting Kristina vs VPV Pallo-Veikot?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.