Football · Finland Kolmonen · 26/09, 13:00

Prediction: VPV Pallo-Veikot vs SJK-j

Team pages: VPV Pallo-Veikot · SJK-j

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

VPV Pallo-Veikot1.82

SJK-j1.64

1X2

42% 23% 35%

VPV Pallo-Veikot Draw SJK-j

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

VPV Pallo-Veikot 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWLLLL

SJK-j 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDLWWDLL

Head-to-head

VPV Pallo-Veikot 1–2–2 SJK-j (5 last)

SJK-j0-2VPV Pallo-Veikot
SJK-j2-2VPV Pallo-Veikot
VPV Pallo-Veikot3-3SJK-j
VPV Pallo-Veikot1-8SJK-j
VPV Pallo-Veikot1-3SJK-j

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · VPV Pallo-Veikot 1483 · SJK-j 1458

	VPV Pallo-Veikot	Draw	SJK-j
Our model	42%	24%	34%
Market	43%	22%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SJK-j: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	VPV Pallo-Veikot	SJK-j
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.5	1.8 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.5 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	17/33/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.2	3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	2.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.10

X4.10

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:45 +13’	2.10	4.10	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · VPV Pallo-Veikot 1–2–2 SJK-j

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/07/26 Finland Kolmonen	SJK-j	0-2 HT 0-2	VPV Pallo-Veikot
27/09/25 Finland Kolmonen	SJK-j	2-2	VPV Pallo-Veikot
02/07/25 Finland Kolmonen	VPV Pallo-Veikot	3-3 HT 2-3	SJK-j
06/07/23 Finland Kolmonen	VPV Pallo-Veikot	1-8 HT 1-5	SJK-j
22/09/22 Finland Kolmonen	VPV Pallo-Veikot	1-3 HT 0-1	SJK-j

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	VIFK	19	15	2	2	61	15	47
2	FC Kiisto	20	10	4	6	48	30	34
3	SIF	19	10	3	6	43	35	33
4	FC Ylivieska	19	9	4	6	44	41	31
5	Virkia	19	8	3	8	39	40	27
6	VPV Pallo-Veikot	18	7	2	9	23	27	23
7	SJK-j	19	6	5	8	30	36	23
8	Sporting Kristina	18	6	4	8	27	33	22
9	Nykarleby IK	19	6	4	9	28	42	22
10	LBK	19	6	1	12	27	51	19
11	KPV Akatemia	19	4	2	13	36	56	14

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	VPV Pallo-Veikot	SJK-j
SIF	2-3 L	1-4 L
FC Ylivieska	0-1 L	2-2 D
Nykarleby IK	0-2 L	2-1 W
VIFK	1-2 L	2-1 W
FC Kiisto	2-1 W	1-2 L
Sporting Kristina	2-1 W	0-0 D
KPV Akatemia	1-0 W	6-3 W
LBK	2-3 L	2-4 L
Virkia	1-0 W	2-5 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: VPV Pallo-Veikot (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VPV Pallo-Veikot

WLLWWWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	SIF Finland Kolmonen	–	2-3	–	–	L
10/09	FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
03/09	Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen	–	0-2	–	–	L
21/08	VIFK Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	2	3	L
11/08	FC Kiisto Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	5	2	W
09/08	Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	1	6	W
04/08	KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen	–	1-0	–	–	W
30/07	LBK Finland Kolmonen	–	2-3	–	–	L
23/07	KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
16/07	Virkia Finland Kolmonen	–	1-0	–	–	W

SJK-j

LWLDLWWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Virkia Finland Kolmonen	–	2-5	–	–	L
12/09	SIF Finland Kolmonen	0-3	1-4	3	3	L
03/09	FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen	–	2-2	–	–	D
29/08	Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen	–	2-1	–	–	W
13/08	VIFK Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-1	3	1	W
07/08	FC Kiisto Finland Kolmonen	–	1-2	–	–	L
30/07	Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
22/07	LBK Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-4	6	3	L
16/07	KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen	3-1	6-3	6	2	W
02/07	VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-2	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VPV Pallo-Veikot vs SJK-j?

According to our model, the most likely result is a VPV Pallo-Veikot win (42%). Probabilities: VPV Pallo-Veikot 42%, draw 23%, SJK-j 35%.

How many goals are expected in VPV Pallo-Veikot vs SJK-j?

The model expects 3.46 goals (VPV Pallo-Veikot 1.82 · SJK-j 1.64), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in VPV Pallo-Veikot vs SJK-j?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.