Football · China Division 2 · 05/07, 13:00

Prediction: Dalian Young Boy Reserves vs Qingdao Red Lions

Expected goals: 1.84 (Dalian Young Boy Reserves 1.01 · Qingdao Red Lions 0.83). The model gives 38% home, 33% draw, 28% away. Over 1.75 goals (51%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 0-0.

Over its last 10 matches, Dalian Young Boy Reserves sits at 3-5-2 (W-D-L), while Qingdao Red Lions arrives on a 4-4-2 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Dalian Young Boy Reserves and 0 for Qingdao Red Lions, with 1 draw.

38%1
38% 33% 28%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dalian Young Boy Reserves 1517 · Qingdao Red Lions 1520
Dalian Young Boy ReservesDrawQingdao Red Lions
Our model38%35%28%
Market39%32%29%
Estimated total (ours) 1.84 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals1.84Dalian Young Boy Reserves 1.01 · Qingdao Red Lions 0.83
Over / Under 1.75Over 1.75 · 51%
BTTSNo · 53%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Dalian Young Boy ReservesQingdao Red Lions
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 0.81 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.50.5 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 51.3 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.34 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalian Young Boy Reserves 010 Qingdao Red Lions

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/04/26
China Division 2
Qingdao Red Lions1-1
HT 0-0
Dalian Young Boy Reserves

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Shanghai Port Reserves 14842 22928
2 Shandong Taishan Reserves 14824 191226
3 Tai'an Tiankuang 14644 161322
4 Dalian Kewei 13571 10422
5 Dalian Young Boy Reserves 14482 141220
6 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 13535 161418
7 Qingdao Red Lions 14374 141416
8 Nantong Haimen Codion 14284 151414
9 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 13283 4714
10 Shanghai Segenda 14257 142511
11 Changchun Xidu 14185 71811
12 Beijing Institute 13166 10199

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDalian Young Boy ReservesQingdao Red Lions
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 0-0 D 0-1 L
Shanghai Segenda 2-1 W 2-0 W
Nantong Haimen Codion 2-1 W 0-1 L
Beijing Institute 1-1 D 1-1 D
Shanghai Port Reserves 0-0 D 2-1 W
Dalian Kewei 0-0 D 0-0 D
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 0-2 L 3-2 W
Changchun Xidu 2-2 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 5 D 1 L 3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Qingdao Red Lions (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dalian Young Boy Reserves

DLDDLWDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 63 D
23/06 Shanghai Segenda
China Division 2
1-1 2-1 54 W
19/06 Nantong Haimen Codion
China Division 2
0-1 2-1 13 W
13/06 Beijing Institute
China Division 2
1-1 1-1 87 D
27/05 Shandong Taishan Reserves
China Division 2
1-0 2-0 34 W
22/05 Tai'an Tiankuang
China Division 2
0-0 0-1 56 L
10/05 Shanghai Port Reserves
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 51 D
05/05 Dalian Kewei
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 52 D
29/04 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
China Division 2
0-2 0-2 66 L
24/04 Changchun Xidu
China Division 2
1-0 2-2 63 D

Qingdao Red Lions

DLWLWDWDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Shanghai Segenda
China Division 2
1-0 2-0 24 W
23/06 Dalian Kewei
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 53 D
20/06 Wuhan Three Towns
China FA Cup
0-0 0-0 03 D
14/06 Shanghai Port Reserves
China Division 2
1-0 2-1 83 W
07/06 Changchun Xidu
China Division 2
1-0 1-1 03 D
27/05 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
China Division 2
2-0 3-2 38 W
23/05 Nantong Haimen Codion
China Division 2
0-0 0-1 105 L
15/05 Nanjing City
China FA Cup
0-0 1-0 14 W
10/05 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
China Division 2
0-0 0-1 64 L
04/05 Beijing Institute
China Division 2
0-0 1-1 78 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dalian Young Boy Reserves vs Qingdao Red Lions?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dalian Young Boy Reserves win (38%). Probabilities: Dalian Young Boy Reserves 38%, draw 33%, Qingdao Red Lions 28%.

How many goals are expected in Dalian Young Boy Reserves vs Qingdao Red Lions?

The model expects 1.84 goals (Dalian Young Boy Reserves 1.01 · Qingdao Red Lions 0.83), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Dalian Young Boy Reserves vs Qingdao Red Lions?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.