Football · China Division 2 · 25/07, 11:30
Prediction: Dalian Kewei vs Dalian Young Boy Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.76Total
Dalian Kewei1.18
Dalian Young Boy Reserves0.58
1X2
Dalian Kewei
Draw
Dalian Young Boy Reserves
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Dalian Kewei
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Dalian Young Boy Reserves
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dalian Kewei
0–1–0
Dalian Young Boy Reserves
(1 last)
- Dalian Young Boy Reserves0-0Dalian Kewei
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dalian Kewei 1538 · Dalian Young Boy Reserves 1509
| Dalian Kewei | Draw | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 34% | 17% |
| Market | 51% | 30% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.76 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dalian Kewei | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.9 | 2.5 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalian Kewei 0–1–0 Dalian Young Boy Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/26 China Division 2 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Dalian Kewei |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 14 | 35 |
| 2 | Shanghai Port Reserves | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 10 | 34 |
| 3 | Dalian Kewei | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 29 |
| 4 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 15 | 27 |
| 5 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 14 | 25 |
| 6 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 21 |
| 7 | Qingdao Red Lions | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 17 |
| 8 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 16 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
| 9 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 15 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| 10 | Changchun Xidu | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 14 |
| 11 | Shanghai Segenda | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 30 | 12 |
| 12 | Beijing Institute | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dalian Kewei | Dalian Young Boy Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Beijing Institute | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Shanghai Segenda | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Nantong Haimen Codion | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Shanghai Port Reserves | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Qingdao Red Lions | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 4 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dalian Kewei
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Beijing Guoan China FA Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 12/07 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 08/07 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 27/06 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 23/06 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/06 | Liaoning Ironman China FA Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 05/06 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
Dalian Young Boy Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 27/06 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 23/06 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/06 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 27/05 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 05/05 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dalian Kewei vs Dalian Young Boy Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dalian Kewei win (50%). Probabilities: Dalian Kewei 50%, draw 32%, Dalian Young Boy Reserves 18%.
How many goals are expected in Dalian Kewei vs Dalian Young Boy Reserves?
The model expects 1.76 goals (Dalian Kewei 1.18 · Dalian Young Boy Reserves 0.58), with a 58% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Dalian Kewei vs Dalian Young Boy Reserves?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.