Football · China Division 2 · 02/08, 13:30

Prediction: Nantong Haimen Codion vs Tai'an Tiankuang

Team pages: Nantong Haimen Codion · Tai'an Tiankuang

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.27Total

Nantong Haimen Codion1.22

Tai'an Tiankuang1.05

1X2

39% 30% 31%

Nantong Haimen Codion Draw Tai'an Tiankuang

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Nantong Haimen Codion 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

WDDLDDLDLW

Tai'an Tiankuang 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLLDLWWD

Head-to-head

Nantong Haimen Codion 3–2–1 Tai'an Tiankuang (6 last)

Tai'an Tiankuang2-1Nantong Haimen Codion
Tai'an Tiankuang0-1Nantong Haimen Codion
Nantong Haimen Codion1-0Tai'an Tiankuang
Nantong Haimen Codion1-0Tai'an Tiankuang
Tai'an Tiankuang1-1Nantong Haimen Codion
Tai'an Tiankuang1-1Nantong Haimen Codion

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nantong Haimen Codion 1483 · Tai'an Tiankuang 1520

	Nantong Haimen Codion	Draw	Tai'an Tiankuang
Our model	38%	31%	30%
Market	39%	30%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Nantong Haimen Codion: 3-2-1.
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nantong Haimen Codion	Tai'an Tiankuang
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.1	1.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.8	2.8 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.3	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.00

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.10▼	Bet365 2.10
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.90 → 3.25▲	Pinn 3.79 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
08:25 +4’	2.30	3.00	2.90
15:40 +2’	2.10▼	3.00	3.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:41	1.97	3.00	3.79

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nantong Haimen Codion 3–2–1 Tai'an Tiankuang

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 China Division 2	Tai'an Tiankuang	2-1 HT 1-0	Nantong Haimen Codion
22/06/25 China Division 2	Tai'an Tiankuang	0-1 HT 0-0	Nantong Haimen Codion
09/04/25 China Division 2	Nantong Haimen Codion	1-0 HT 0-0	Tai'an Tiankuang
09/06/24 China Division 2	Nantong Haimen Codion	1-0 HT 0-0	Tai'an Tiankuang
31/03/24 China Division 2	Tai'an Tiankuang	1-1 HT 0-0	Nantong Haimen Codion
06/08/23 China Division 2	Tai'an Tiankuang	1-1 HT 0-0	Nantong Haimen Codion

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shandong Taishan Reserves	18	11	3	4	26	15	36
2	Shanghai Port Reserves	17	10	4	3	31	13	34
3	Dalian Kewei	18	8	8	2	16	8	32
4	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	17	9	3	5	24	15	30
5	Tai'an Tiankuang	18	8	5	5	22	18	29
6	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	17	4	9	4	15	16	21
7	Qingdao Red Lions	18	4	8	6	20	17	20
8	Nantong Haimen Codion	18	3	9	6	18	19	18
9	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	17	2	11	4	9	14	17
10	Changchun Xidu	17	2	9	6	9	21	15
11	Shanghai Segenda	18	2	7	9	18	32	13
12	Beijing Institute	17	1	6	10	13	33	9

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nantong Haimen Codion	Tai'an Tiankuang
Beijing Institute	2-1 W	1-1 D
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	0-2 L	2-3 L
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	0-0 D	2-2 D
Dalian Kewei	1-2 L	2-1 W
Changchun Xidu	0-0 D	0-1 L
Shanghai Port Reserves	2-2 D	3-2 W
Dalian Young Boy Reserves	1-2 L	1-0 W
Shandong Taishan Reserves	0-0 D	0-1 L
Shanghai Segenda	2-2 D	0-0 D
Qingdao Red Lions	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 5 D 3 L	4 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Tai'an Tiankuang (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nantong Haimen Codion

WDDLDDLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Beijing Institute China Division 2	0-0	2-1	10	4	W
26/07	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-1	0-2	10	1	L
19/07	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
04/07	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	1-0	1-2	3	6	L
27/06	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	8	0	D
23/06	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	2-0	2-2	4	3	D
19/06	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	1-0	1-2	7	3	L
13/06	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
27/05	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	1-2	2-2	5	5	D
23/05	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-0	1-0	9	5	W

Tai'an Tiankuang

WWDLLDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-1	2-2	5	3	D
26/07	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	1-1	3-2	7	1	W
19/07	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	1-0	1-0	7	5	W
05/07	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
28/06	Beijing Institute China Division 2	1-1	1-1	7	2	D
24/06	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-2	2-3	6	4	L
20/06	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
13/06	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
26/05	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	2-1	2-1	3	3	W
22/05	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-0	1-0	4	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nantong Haimen Codion vs Tai'an Tiankuang?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nantong Haimen Codion win (39%). Probabilities: Nantong Haimen Codion 39%, draw 30%, Tai'an Tiankuang 31%.

How many goals are expected in Nantong Haimen Codion vs Tai'an Tiankuang?

The model expects 2.27 goals (Nantong Haimen Codion 1.22 · Tai'an Tiankuang 1.05), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Nantong Haimen Codion vs Tai'an Tiankuang?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.