Football · China Division 2 · 02/08, 13:00

Prediction: Shandong Taishan Reserves vs Dalian Kewei

Team pages: Shandong Taishan Reserves · Dalian Kewei

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.92Total

Shandong Taishan Reserves1.08

Dalian Kewei0.84

1X2

40% 32% 27%

Shandong Taishan Reserves Draw Dalian Kewei

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

Shandong Taishan Reserves 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LLDWWWWWWD

Dalian Kewei 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWWLDWLW

Head-to-head

Shandong Taishan Reserves 0–1 Dalian Kewei (1 last)

Dalian Kewei2-1Shandong Taishan Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shandong Taishan Reserves 1549 · Dalian Kewei 1549

	Shandong Taishan Reserves	Draw	Dalian Kewei
Our model	39%	34%	27%
Market	41%	31%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 1.92 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shandong Taishan Reserves	Dalian Kewei
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.7	1.2 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.9	2.3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X2.88

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 22.02

Under 21.77

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.75▲	Bet365 2.75
X	2.88 → 2.80▼	Pinn 2.84
2	3.20 → 2.45▼	Pinn 2.68 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.9% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
08:25 +4’	2.20	2.88	3.20
15:16 +26’	2.75▲	2.80▼	2.45▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:41	2.63	2.84	2.68

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Shandong Taishan Reserves 0–0–1 Dalian Kewei

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 China Division 2	Dalian Kewei	2-1 HT 2-0	Shandong Taishan Reserves

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shandong Taishan Reserves	18	11	3	4	26	15	36
2	Shanghai Port Reserves	17	10	4	3	31	13	34
3	Dalian Kewei	18	8	8	2	16	8	32
4	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	17	9	3	5	24	15	30
5	Tai'an Tiankuang	18	8	5	5	22	18	29
6	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	17	4	9	4	15	16	21
7	Qingdao Red Lions	18	4	8	6	20	17	20
8	Nantong Haimen Codion	18	3	9	6	18	19	18
9	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	17	2	11	4	9	14	17
10	Changchun Xidu	17	2	9	6	9	21	15
11	Shanghai Segenda	18	2	7	9	18	32	13
12	Beijing Institute	17	1	6	10	13	33	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shandong Taishan Reserves	Dalian Kewei
Changchun Xidu	1-1 D	3-0 W
Shanghai Segenda	2-1 W	1-1 D
Qingdao Red Lions	1-0 W	0-0 D
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	1-0 W	0-2 L
Beijing Institute	3-1 W	1-0 W
Nantong Haimen Codion	0-0 D	2-1 W
Dalian Young Boy Reserves	0-2 L	2-0 W
Shanghai Port Reserves	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Shandong Taishan Reserves

LLDWWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-0	1-1	1	1	D
18/07	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	1-1	2-1	7	2	W
12/07	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
04/07	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	2-0	3-1	2	3	W
28/06	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-0	1-0	14	2	W
24/06	Beijing Institute China Division 2	1-0	3-1	9	2	W
20/06	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
13/06	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
27/05	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
22/05	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	0-1	0-1	8	5	L

Dalian Kewei

WWDWWLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
21/07	Beijing Guoan China FA Cup	0-1	1-2	1	0	L
18/07	Beijing Institute China Division 2	0-0	1-0	12	3	W
12/07	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	0-1	1-1	11	2	D
08/07	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
04/07	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-1	2-1	2	6	W
27/06	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
23/06	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
19/06	Liaoning Ironman China FA Cup	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
13/06	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	1-0	3-0	5	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shandong Taishan Reserves vs Dalian Kewei?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shandong Taishan Reserves win (40%). Probabilities: Shandong Taishan Reserves 40%, draw 32%, Dalian Kewei 27%.

How many goals are expected in Shandong Taishan Reserves vs Dalian Kewei?

The model expects 1.92 goals (Shandong Taishan Reserves 1.08 · Dalian Kewei 0.84), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Shandong Taishan Reserves vs Dalian Kewei?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.