Football · China Division 2 · 02/08, 13:35

Prediction: Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves vs Xiamen Feilu

Team pages: Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves · Xiamen Feilu

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.78Total
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves0.76
Xiamen Feilu1.01
1X2
27% 32% 41%
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves Draw Xiamen Feilu
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 54% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 0-3-7 (W-D-L)
LLLLDLLDDL
Xiamen Feilu 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WWLLDWDDLL
Head-to-head
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 0–1 Xiamen Feilu (1 last)
  • Xiamen Feilu2-0Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 1412 · Xiamen Feilu 1496
Chengdu Rongcheng ReservesDrawXiamen Feilu
Our model25%35%39%
Market28%30%42%
Estimated total (ours) 1.78 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Xiamen Feilu (rating 1412 vs 1496).
  • Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Chengdu Rongcheng ReservesXiamen Feilu
Goals for / against (FT)0.3 / 1.30.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.50.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/60/40%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 4.72.3 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 03 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 001 Xiamen Feilu

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/05/26
China Division 2
Xiamen Feilu2-0
HT 2-0
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 171115 261334
2 Shenzhen 2028 18963 302233
3 Hubei Istar 17863 261830
4 Ganzhou Ruishi 18675 171825
5 Xiamen Feilu 18675 262125
6 Jiangxi Lushan 17746 201625
7 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 18594 182424
8 Guangdong Mingtu 18495 191921
9 Guangzhou Dandelion 18558 182320
10 Wenzhou FC 17377 111916
11 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 18369 102015
12 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 18279 122013

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentChengdu Rongcheng ReservesXiamen Feilu
Guangdong Mingtu 0-2 L 2-1 W
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 0-0 D 1-2 L
Ganzhou Ruishi 1-1 D 0-0 D
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 0-1 L 1-2 L
Shenzhen 2028 0-1 L 0-0 D
Guangzhou Dandelion 0-0 D 3-1 W
Wenzhou FC 1-2 L 0-1 L
Jiangxi Lushan 0-1 L 2-0 W
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 1-2 L 0-1 L
Hubei Istar 0-3 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 0 W 3 D 7 L 3 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Xiamen Feilu (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves

LLLLDLLDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/07 Guangdong Mingtu
China Division 2
0-1 0-2 35 L
19/07 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 52 D
11/07 Ganzhou Ruishi
China Division 2
1-1 1-1 35 D
04/07 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
China Division 2
0-0 0-1 61 L
28/06 Shenzhen 2028
China Division 2
0-0 0-1 72 L
24/06 Guangzhou Dandelion
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 32 D
20/06 Wenzhou FC
China Division 2
0-1 1-2 74 L
13/06 Jiangxi Lushan
China Division 2
0-1 0-1 101 L
26/05 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
China Division 2
0-0 1-2 21 L
22/05 Hubei Istar
China Division 2
0-1 0-3 13 L

Xiamen Feilu

WWLLDWDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/07 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
China Division 2
1-1 1-2 93 L
26/07 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
China Division 2
1-0 1-2 74 L
18/07 Ganzhou Ruishi
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 95 D
05/07 Shenzhen 2028
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 23 D
27/06 Guangdong Mingtu
China Division 2
1-1 2-1 34 W
23/06 Hubei Istar
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 31 D
19/06 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
China Division 2
0-1 0-1 23 L
13/06 Wenzhou FC
China Division 2
0-1 0-1 54 L
27/05 Jiangxi Lushan
China Division 2
1-0 2-0 11 W
23/05 Guangzhou Dandelion
China Division 2
0-0 3-1 13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves vs Xiamen Feilu?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Xiamen Feilu win (41%). Probabilities: Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 27%, draw 32%, Xiamen Feilu 41%.

How many goals are expected in Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves vs Xiamen Feilu?

The model expects 1.78 goals (Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 0.76 · Xiamen Feilu 1.01), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves vs Xiamen Feilu?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.