Football · China Division 2 · 02/08, 13:00

Prediction: Guangzhou Dandelion vs Wuhan Three Towns Reserves

Team pages: Guangzhou Dandelion · Wuhan Three Towns Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.86Total

Guangzhou Dandelion1.08

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves0.78

1X2

42% 32% 26%

Guangzhou Dandelion Draw Wuhan Three Towns Reserves

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 57% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

Guangzhou Dandelion 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLDLLDLD

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDLLWLDW

Head-to-head

Guangzhou Dandelion 1–1–1 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves (3 last)

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves0-0Guangzhou Dandelion
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves1-0Guangzhou Dandelion
Guangzhou Dandelion1-0Wuhan Three Towns Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guangzhou Dandelion 1425 · Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 1458

	Guangzhou Dandelion	Draw	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
Our model	41%	34%	25%
Market	43%	31%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 1.86 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Guangzhou Dandelion	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.6	0.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4	2.5 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X2.90

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 22.00

Under 21.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 4.09 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
08:25 +4’	2.10	2.90	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:41	1.96	2.84	4.09

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Guangzhou Dandelion 1–1–1 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 China Division 2	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	0-0 HT 0-0	Guangzhou Dandelion
27/06/25 China Division 2	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	1-0 HT 0-0	Guangzhou Dandelion
12/04/25 China Division 2	Guangzhou Dandelion	1-0 HT 1-0	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	17	11	1	5	26	13	34
2	Shenzhen 2028	18	9	6	3	30	22	33
3	Hubei Istar	17	8	6	3	26	18	30
4	Ganzhou Ruishi	18	6	7	5	17	18	25
5	Xiamen Feilu	18	6	7	5	26	21	25
6	Jiangxi Lushan	17	7	4	6	20	16	25
7	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	18	5	9	4	18	24	24
8	Guangdong Mingtu	18	4	9	5	19	19	21
9	Guangzhou Dandelion	18	5	5	8	18	23	20
10	Wenzhou FC	17	3	7	7	11	19	16
11	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	18	3	6	9	10	20	15
12	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	18	2	7	9	12	20	13

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Guangzhou Dandelion	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
Wenzhou FC	0-0 D	1-2 L
Shenzhen 2028	1-3 L	1-1 D
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	1-1 D	0-1 L
Guangdong Mingtu	1-2 L	0-1 L
Jiangxi Lushan	0-2 L	1-2 L
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	0-0 D	1-0 W
Hubei Istar	2-3 L	1-1 D
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	0-2 L	0-1 L
Ganzhou Ruishi	2-0 W	0-1 L
Xiamen Feilu	1-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 6 L	2 W 2 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Wuhan Three Towns Reserves (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guangzhou Dandelion

LWLLDLLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
18/07	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	1-1	1-3	3	2	L
12/07	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
04/07	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	1-1	1-2	1	6	L
28/06	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-2	0-2	1	2	L
24/06	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
19/06	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-2	2-3	5	2	L
14/06	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	0-1	0-2	8	1	L
27/05	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	2-0	2-0	2	4	W
23/05	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-0	1-3	5	3	L

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves

LLLDLLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	1-1	2-1	2	3	W
26/07	Hubei Istar China Division 2	1-1	1-1	9	1	D
19/07	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-1	0	1	L
04/07	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
28/06	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	0-0	0-1	8	1	L
24/06	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
20/06	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	1-1	1-1	8	3	D
14/06	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
27/05	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
23/05	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-1	1-2	2	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guangzhou Dandelion vs Wuhan Three Towns Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Guangzhou Dandelion win (42%). Probabilities: Guangzhou Dandelion 42%, draw 32%, Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 26%.

How many goals are expected in Guangzhou Dandelion vs Wuhan Three Towns Reserves?

The model expects 1.86 goals (Guangzhou Dandelion 1.08 · Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 0.78), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Guangzhou Dandelion vs Wuhan Three Towns Reserves?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.