Football · China Division 2 · 02/08, 10:00
Prediction: Shanghai Segenda vs Changchun Xidu
Team pages: Shanghai Segenda · Changchun Xidu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.92Total
Shanghai Segenda1.13
Changchun Xidu0.79
1X2
Shanghai Segenda
Draw
Changchun Xidu
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Shanghai Segenda
0-5-5 (W-D-L)
Changchun Xidu
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shanghai Segenda
1–0
Changchun Xidu
(1 last)
- Changchun Xidu0-1Shanghai Segenda
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shanghai Segenda 1459 · Changchun Xidu 1463
| Shanghai Segenda | Draw | Changchun Xidu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 34% | 24% |
| Market | 44% | 30% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.92 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shanghai Segenda | Changchun Xidu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.6 | 0.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 2.9 | 2.1 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shanghai Segenda 1–0–0 Changchun Xidu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 China Division 2 | Changchun Xidu | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Shanghai Segenda |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Shanghai Port Reserves | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | Dalian Kewei | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 15 | 30 |
| 5 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 21 |
| 7 | Qingdao Red Lions | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 20 |
| 8 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 18 |
| 9 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 17 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 17 |
| 10 | Changchun Xidu | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 15 |
| 11 | Shanghai Segenda | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 13 |
| 12 | Beijing Institute | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 33 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shanghai Segenda | Changchun Xidu |
|---|---|---|
| Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Shandong Taishan Reserves | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Dalian Kewei | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Qingdao Red Lions | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Tai'an Tiankuang | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Shanghai Port Reserves | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Nantong Haimen Codion | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 5 D 3 L | 1 W 4 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shanghai Segenda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 12/07 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 05/07 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/06 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 19/06 | Shanghai Port China FA Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
Changchun Xidu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 05/07 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 27/06 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 23/06 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 07/06 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shanghai Segenda vs Changchun Xidu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shanghai Segenda win (43%). Probabilities: Shanghai Segenda 43%, draw 32%, Changchun Xidu 25%.
How many goals are expected in Shanghai Segenda vs Changchun Xidu?
The model expects 1.92 goals (Shanghai Segenda 1.13 · Changchun Xidu 0.79), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Shanghai Segenda vs Changchun Xidu?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.