Football · China Division 2 · 01/08, 13:30

Prediction: Ganzhou Ruishi vs Hangzhou Linping Wuyue

Team pages: Ganzhou Ruishi · Hangzhou Linping Wuyue

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.11Total

Ganzhou Ruishi1.14

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue0.98

1X2

38% 32% 30%

Ganzhou Ruishi Draw Hangzhou Linping Wuyue

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Ganzhou Ruishi 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WDDLWDWDDW

Head-to-head

Ganzhou Ruishi 1–0 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue (1 last)

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue0-1Ganzhou Ruishi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ganzhou Ruishi 1515 · Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 1511

	Ganzhou Ruishi	Draw	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
Our model	38%	32%	30%
Market	38%	32%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ganzhou Ruishi	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.2	1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.3 / 1.7	1.4 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.35

X2.80

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 22.05

Under 21.75

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
09:11 +2’	2.35	2.80	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ganzhou Ruishi 1–0–0 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 China Division 2	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	0-1 HT 0-0	Ganzhou Ruishi

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	17	11	1	5	26	13	34
2	Shenzhen 2028	18	9	6	3	30	22	33
3	Hubei Istar	17	8	6	3	26	18	30
4	Ganzhou Ruishi	18	6	7	5	17	18	25
5	Xiamen Feilu	18	6	7	5	26	21	25
6	Jiangxi Lushan	17	7	4	6	20	16	25
7	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	18	5	9	4	18	24	24
8	Guangdong Mingtu	18	4	9	5	19	19	21
9	Guangzhou Dandelion	18	5	5	8	18	23	20
10	Wenzhou FC	17	3	7	7	11	19	16
11	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	18	3	6	9	10	20	15
12	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	18	2	7	9	12	20	13

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ganzhou Ruishi	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
Xiamen Feilu	0-0 D	2-1 W
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	1-1 D	0-0 D
Hubei Istar	4-4 D	1-0 W
Wenzhou FC	1-0 W	0-0 D
Jiangxi Lushan	1-0 W	2-1 W
Guangdong Mingtu	0-2 L	1-1 D
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	1-0 W	1-0 W
Guangzhou Dandelion	0-2 L	1-1 D
Shenzhen 2028	3-0 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 2 L	4 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Hangzhou Linping Wuyue (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Ganzhou Ruishi

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	0-2	0-3	1	1	L
18/07	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	0	5	D
11/07	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
04/07	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-2	4-4	2	0	D
28/06	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	1-0	1-0	0	4	W
24/06	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-0	1-0	1	1	W
19/06	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
14/06	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
27/05	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	0-2	0-2	1	4	L
22/05	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	1-0	3-0	4	6	W

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
19/07	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
12/07	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
08/07	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	1-0	2-1	1	4	W
05/07	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
28/06	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	0-0	1-0	1	1	W
24/06	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	1-1	1-3	2	2	L
19/06	Dalian Young Boy China FA Cup	0-1	1-1	2	6	D
13/06	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	0-0	1-1	1	3	D
26/05	Hubei Istar China Division 2	1-0	1-0	4	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ganzhou Ruishi vs Hangzhou Linping Wuyue?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ganzhou Ruishi win (38%). Probabilities: Ganzhou Ruishi 38%, draw 32%, Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 30%.

How many goals are expected in Ganzhou Ruishi vs Hangzhou Linping Wuyue?

The model expects 2.11 goals (Ganzhou Ruishi 1.14 · Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 0.98), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Ganzhou Ruishi vs Hangzhou Linping Wuyue?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.