Football · China Division 2 · 22/08, 10:00

Prediction: Dalian Young Boy Reserves vs Beijing Institute

Team pages: Dalian Young Boy Reserves · Beijing Institute

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.43Total

Dalian Young Boy Reserves1.69

Beijing Institute0.75

1X2

59% 25% 16%

Dalian Young Boy Reserves Draw Beijing Institute

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Dalian Young Boy Reserves 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Beijing Institute 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Dalian Young Boy Reserves 0–1–0 Beijing Institute (1 last)

Beijing Institute1-1Dalian Young Boy Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dalian Young Boy Reserves 1520 · Beijing Institute 1421

	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	Draw	Beijing Institute
Our model	59%	26%	15%
Market	60%	24%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dalian Young Boy Reserves (rating 1520 vs 1421).
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	Beijing Institute
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.9 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.3 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6	0.7 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.2	2.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.50

X3.80

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.85

2 (+1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
01:58 +4’	1.50	3.80	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalian Young Boy Reserves 0–1–0 Beijing Institute

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 China Division 2	Beijing Institute	1-1 HT 1-1	Dalian Young Boy Reserves

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shandong Taishan Reserves	21	12	4	5	31	19	40
2	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	21	12	3	6	29	17	39
3	Dalian Kewei	21	9	10	2	21	12	37
4	Shanghai Port Reserves	21	11	4	6	34	19	37
5	Tai'an Tiankuang	21	8	6	7	23	21	30
6	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	21	6	10	5	18	18	28
7	Nantong Haimen Codion	21	5	10	6	23	21	25
8	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	21	4	13	4	13	16	25
9	Qingdao Red Lions	21	5	10	6	22	18	25
10	Changchun Xidu	21	2	11	8	13	27	17
11	Shanghai Segenda	21	2	8	11	20	37	14
12	Beijing Institute	21	2	7	12	17	39	13

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	Beijing Institute
Shandong Taishan Reserves	1-0 W	1-3 L
Tai'an Tiankuang	0-0 D	1-1 D
Changchun Xidu	1-0 W	2-2 D
Shanghai Port Reserves	1-2 L	1-5 L
Dalian Kewei	0-2 L	0-1 L
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	1-2 L	0-2 L
Qingdao Red Lions	0-0 D	1-6 L
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	0-0 D	0-1 L
Shanghai Segenda	2-1 W	2-1 W
Nantong Haimen Codion	2-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Dalian Young Boy Reserves (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dalian Young Boy Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
08/08	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
05/08	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
01/08	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	1-0	1-2	6	1	L
25/07	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
19/07	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-2	1-2	11	2	L
05/07	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
27/06	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
23/06	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
19/06	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-1	2-1	1	3	W

Beijing Institute

LDLLLLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	1-1	2-2	5	3	D
08/08	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	0-1	2-1	4	5	W
05/08	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
01/08	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
29/07	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-0	1-2	0	4	L
27/07	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-3	1-6	4	1	L
18/07	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
04/07	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	1-4	1-5	3	1	L
28/06	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	1-1	1-1	1	2	D
24/06	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-1	1-3	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dalian Young Boy Reserves vs Beijing Institute?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dalian Young Boy Reserves win (59%). Probabilities: Dalian Young Boy Reserves 59%, draw 25%, Beijing Institute 16%.

How many goals are expected in Dalian Young Boy Reserves vs Beijing Institute?

The model expects 2.43 goals (Dalian Young Boy Reserves 1.69 · Beijing Institute 0.75), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Dalian Young Boy Reserves vs Beijing Institute?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.