Prediction: Xiamen Feilu vs Shenzhen 2028
Expected goals: 2.96 (Xiamen Feilu 1.57 · Shenzhen 2028 1.39). The model gives 40% home, 27% draw, 32% away. Over 2.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Xiamen Feilu is 5-2-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Shenzhen 2028 6-1-3 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Xiamen Feilu and 0 for Shenzhen 2028, with 1 draw.
| Xiamen Feilu | Draw | Shenzhen 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 27% | 33% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Xiamen Feilu | Shenzhen 2028 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.2 | 2.5 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Xiamen Feilu 0–1–0 Shenzhen 2028
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/26 China Division 2 | Shenzhen 2028 | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Xiamen Feilu |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 11 | 28 |
| 2 | Shenzhen 2028 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 25 |
| 3 | Hubei Istar | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Xiamen Feilu | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 23 |
| 5 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| 6 | Jiangxi Lushan | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 21 |
| 7 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 18 |
| 8 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 15 |
| 9 | Wenzhou FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 14 |
| 10 | Guangdong Mingtu | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 13 |
| 11 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 13 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 14 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 6 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Xiamen Feilu | Shenzhen 2028 |
|---|---|---|
| Hubei Istar | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Wenzhou FC | 0-1 L | 4-0 W |
| Jiangxi Lushan | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Guangzhou Dandelion | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Ganzhou Ruishi | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 3 L | 6 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Xiamen Feilu (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xiamen Feilu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 23/06 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 19/06 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 27/05 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 29/04 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 25/04 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
Shenzhen 2028
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 24/06 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/05 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 15/05 | Shaanxi Union China FA Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 29/04 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xiamen Feilu vs Shenzhen 2028?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Xiamen Feilu win (40%). Probabilities: Xiamen Feilu 40%, draw 27%, Shenzhen 2028 32%.
How many goals are expected in Xiamen Feilu vs Shenzhen 2028?
The model expects 2.96 goals (Xiamen Feilu 1.57 · Shenzhen 2028 1.39), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Xiamen Feilu vs Shenzhen 2028?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.