Prediction: Tai'an Tiankuang vs Changchun Xidu
Expected goals: 1.99 (Tai'an Tiankuang 1.48 · Changchun Xidu 0.51). The model gives 61% home, 26% draw, 13% away. Under 2.25 goals (54%) and not both to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Over its last 10 matches, Tai'an Tiankuang sits at 3-4-3 (W-D-L), while Changchun Xidu arrives on a 0-6-4 run. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for Tai'an Tiankuang and 3 for Changchun Xidu.
| Tai'an Tiankuang | Draw | Changchun Xidu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 28% | 12% |
| Market | 62% | 24% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Changchun Xidu: 3-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tai'an Tiankuang | Changchun Xidu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.8 | 2.4 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tai'an Tiankuang 0–0–3 Changchun Xidu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/26 China Division 2 | Changchun Xidu | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Tai'an Tiankuang |
| 15/06/25 China Division 2 | Changchun Xidu | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Tai'an Tiankuang |
| 05/04/25 China Division 2 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Changchun Xidu |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Port Reserves | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 28 |
| 2 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 26 |
| 3 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 22 |
| 4 | Dalian Kewei | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 20 |
| 6 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 18 |
| 7 | Qingdao Red Lions | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 16 |
| 8 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 14 |
| 9 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 13 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 |
| 10 | Shanghai Segenda | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 25 | 11 |
| 11 | Changchun Xidu | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 11 |
| 12 | Beijing Institute | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 9 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tai'an Tiankuang | Changchun Xidu |
|---|---|---|
| Beijing Institute | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 2-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Shandong Taishan Reserves | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Shanghai Segenda | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Dalian Kewei | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Nantong Haimen Codion | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Shanghai Port Reserves | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Qingdao Red Lions | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 4 D 3 L | 0 W 6 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Tai'an Tiankuang (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tai'an Tiankuang
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 24/06 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 26/05 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 04/05 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/04 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 25/04 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
Changchun Xidu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 23/06 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 07/06 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 05/05 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 30/04 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tai'an Tiankuang vs Changchun Xidu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tai'an Tiankuang win (61%). Probabilities: Tai'an Tiankuang 61%, draw 26%, Changchun Xidu 13%.
How many goals are expected in Tai'an Tiankuang vs Changchun Xidu?
The model expects 1.99 goals (Tai'an Tiankuang 1.48 · Changchun Xidu 0.51), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tai'an Tiankuang vs Changchun Xidu?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.