Football · China Division 2 · 09/08, 11:30

Prediction: Dalian Kewei vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

Team pages: Dalian Kewei · Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.71Total

Dalian Kewei1.19

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic0.53

1X2

53% 31% 17%

Dalian Kewei Draw Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 52% Not both to score 56%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Dalian Kewei 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWLDWLWD

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 2-7-1 (W-D-L)

DDDLDWDDDW

Head-to-head

Dalian Kewei 0–1–0 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic (1 last)

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic0-0Dalian Kewei

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dalian Kewei 1545 · Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 1514

	Dalian Kewei	Draw	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Our model	51%	33%	15%
Market	54%	28%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 1.71 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dalian Kewei	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	0.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.8	2.7 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.1	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.20

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.93

Under 1.751.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 1.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.22
2	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 6.65 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:29 +49’	1.67	3.20	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:53 +5’	1.55	3.22	6.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalian Kewei 0–1–0 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/06/26 China Division 2	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	0-0 HT 0-0	Dalian Kewei

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shanghai Port Reserves	19	11	4	4	33	15	37
2	Shandong Taishan Reserves	19	11	4	4	28	17	37
3	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	19	11	3	5	27	15	36
4	Dalian Kewei	19	8	9	2	18	10	33
5	Tai'an Tiankuang	19	8	5	6	23	20	29
6	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	19	5	9	5	17	18	24
7	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	19	3	12	4	10	14	21
8	Nantong Haimen Codion	19	4	9	6	20	20	21
9	Qingdao Red Lions	19	4	9	6	20	17	21
10	Changchun Xidu	19	2	10	7	10	23	16
11	Shanghai Segenda	19	2	8	9	19	33	14
12	Beijing Institute	19	1	6	12	13	36	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dalian Kewei	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Shandong Taishan Reserves	2-2 D	1-3 L
Dalian Young Boy Reserves	2-0 W	0-0 D
Beijing Institute	1-0 W	1-0 W
Shanghai Segenda	1-1 D	2-2 D
Nantong Haimen Codion	2-1 W	0-0 D
Qingdao Red Lions	0-0 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 0 L	1 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Dalian Kewei (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Dalian Kewei

WDWWLDWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	1-0	2-2	2	1	D
25/07	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
21/07	Beijing Guoan China FA Cup	0-1	1-2	1	0	L
18/07	Beijing Institute China Division 2	0-0	1-0	12	3	W
12/07	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	0-1	1-1	11	2	D
08/07	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
04/07	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-1	2-1	2	6	W
27/06	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
23/06	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
19/06	Liaoning Ironman China FA Cup	1-0	1-0	2	4	W

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

DDDLDWDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/08	Beijing Institute China Division 2	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
01/08	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
29/07	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	1-0	2-2	5	3	D
25/07	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	0-1	2-2	6	2	D
22/07	Shaanxi Union China FA Cup	0-0	2-0	4	4	W
19/07	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
04/07	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-2	1-3	6	3	L
27/06	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
23/06	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
19/06	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China FA Cup	1-1	1-1	10	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dalian Kewei vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dalian Kewei win (53%). Probabilities: Dalian Kewei 53%, draw 31%, Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 17%.

How many goals are expected in Dalian Kewei vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic?

The model expects 1.71 goals (Dalian Kewei 1.19 · Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 0.53), with a 54% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Dalian Kewei vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.