Prediction: Shanghai Port Reserves vs Beijing Institute
Expected goals: 2.41 (Shanghai Port Reserves 1.65 · Beijing Institute 0.75). The model gives 58% home, 26% draw, 16% away. Under 2.5 goals (53%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-0.
On recent form, Shanghai Port Reserves is 5-3-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Beijing Institute 1-7-2 over its own. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Shanghai Port Reserves and 2 for Beijing Institute.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shanghai Port Reserves (rating 1549 vs 1469).
- H2H favours Beijing Institute: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shanghai Port Reserves | Beijing Institute | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 0/80/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.1 | 1.7 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shanghai Port Reserves 1–0–2 Beijing Institute
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/26 China Division 2 | Beijing Institute | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Shanghai Port Reserves |
| 21/06/25 China Division 2 | Shanghai Port Reserves | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Beijing Institute |
| 09/04/25 China Division 2 | Beijing Institute | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Shanghai Port Reserves |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Port Reserves | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 28 |
| 2 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 26 |
| 3 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 22 |
| 4 | Dalian Kewei | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 20 |
| 6 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 18 |
| 7 | Qingdao Red Lions | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 16 |
| 8 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 14 |
| 9 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 13 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 |
| 10 | Shanghai Segenda | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 25 | 11 |
| 11 | Changchun Xidu | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 11 |
| 12 | Beijing Institute | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 9 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shanghai Port Reserves | Beijing Institute |
|---|---|---|
| Dalian Kewei | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Nantong Haimen Codion | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Qingdao Red Lions | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Shanghai Segenda | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Shandong Taishan Reserves | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Tai'an Tiankuang | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Changchun Xidu | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 2 L | 1 W 6 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Shanghai Port Reserves (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shanghai Port Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 23/06 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/05 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/05 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 04/05 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/04 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
Beijing Institute
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 24/06 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 06/06 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 27/05 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 30/04 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Liaocheng Legend China FA Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shanghai Port Reserves vs Beijing Institute?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shanghai Port Reserves win (58%). Probabilities: Shanghai Port Reserves 58%, draw 26%, Beijing Institute 16%.
How many goals are expected in Shanghai Port Reserves vs Beijing Institute?
The model expects 2.41 goals (Shanghai Port Reserves 1.65 · Beijing Institute 0.75), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Shanghai Port Reserves vs Beijing Institute?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.