Prediction: Nantong Haimen Codion vs Dalian Kewei
Expected goals: 1.78 (Nantong Haimen Codion 0.97 · Dalian Kewei 0.81). The model gives 38% home, 33% draw, 29% away. Under 2 goals (57%) and not both to score (54%). Most likely score: 0-0.
Over its last 10 matches, Nantong Haimen Codion sits at 1-7-2 (W-D-L), while Dalian Kewei arrives on a 5-4-1 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Nantong Haimen Codion and 1 for Dalian Kewei.
| Nantong Haimen Codion | Draw | Dalian Kewei | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 36% | 28% |
| Market | 39% | 31% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dalian Kewei (rating 1483 vs 1553).
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nantong Haimen Codion | Dalian Kewei | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.3 | 2.7 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nantong Haimen Codion 0–0–1 Dalian Kewei
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/26 China Division 2 | Dalian Kewei | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Nantong Haimen Codion |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Port Reserves | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 28 |
| 2 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 26 |
| 3 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 22 |
| 4 | Dalian Kewei | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 20 |
| 6 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 18 |
| 7 | Qingdao Red Lions | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 16 |
| 8 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 14 |
| 9 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 13 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 |
| 10 | Shanghai Segenda | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 25 | 11 |
| 11 | Changchun Xidu | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 11 |
| 12 | Beijing Institute | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nantong Haimen Codion | Dalian Kewei |
|---|---|---|
| Changchun Xidu | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Shanghai Port Reserves | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Shandong Taishan Reserves | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Qingdao Red Lions | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Tai'an Tiankuang | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Beijing Institute | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 5 D 2 L | 3 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Dalian Kewei (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nantong Haimen Codion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 23/06 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/06 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 04/05 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 30/04 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
Dalian Kewei
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 23/06 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/06 | Liaoning Ironman China FA Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 05/06 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 26/05 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Nantong Zhiyun China FA Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 05/05 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 30/04 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nantong Haimen Codion vs Dalian Kewei?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nantong Haimen Codion win (38%). Probabilities: Nantong Haimen Codion 38%, draw 33%, Dalian Kewei 29%.
How many goals are expected in Nantong Haimen Codion vs Dalian Kewei?
The model expects 1.78 goals (Nantong Haimen Codion 0.97 · Dalian Kewei 0.81), with a 57% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Nantong Haimen Codion vs Dalian Kewei?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.