Football · China Division 2 · 19/07, 13:00
Prediction: Tai'an Tiankuang vs Qingdao Red Lions
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.84Total
Tai'an Tiankuang1.11
Qingdao Red Lions0.72
1X2
Tai'an Tiankuang
Draw
Qingdao Red Lions
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Tai'an Tiankuang
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Qingdao Red Lions
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tai'an Tiankuang
1–2–0
Qingdao Red Lions
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tai'an Tiankuang 1480 · Qingdao Red Lions 1513
| Tai'an Tiankuang | Draw | Qingdao Red Lions | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 34% | 22% |
| Market | 45% | 31% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.84 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tai'an Tiankuang | Qingdao Red Lions | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.7 | 1.5 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tai'an Tiankuang 1–2–0 Qingdao Red Lions
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/26 China Division 2 | Qingdao Red Lions | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Tai'an Tiankuang |
| 02/07/23 China Division 2 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Qingdao Red Lions |
| 07/05/23 China Division 2 | Qingdao Red Lions | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Tai'an Tiankuang |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | Shanghai Port Reserves | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 10 | 31 |
| 3 | Dalian Kewei | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 26 |
| 4 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 22 |
| 6 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Qingdao Red Lions | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 17 |
| 8 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
| 9 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Changchun Xidu | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 14 |
| 11 | Shanghai Segenda | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 12 |
| 12 | Beijing Institute | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tai'an Tiankuang | Qingdao Red Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Changchun Xidu | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 2-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Shandong Taishan Reserves | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Shanghai Segenda | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Dalian Kewei | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Nantong Haimen Codion | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Shanghai Port Reserves | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Qingdao Red Lions (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tai'an Tiankuang
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 28/06 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 24/06 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 26/05 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 04/05 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/04 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
Qingdao Red Lions
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 27/06 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/06 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Wuhan Three Towns China FA Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | Nanjing City China FA Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tai'an Tiankuang vs Qingdao Red Lions?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tai'an Tiankuang win (44%). Probabilities: Tai'an Tiankuang 44%, draw 32%, Qingdao Red Lions 23%.
How many goals are expected in Tai'an Tiankuang vs Qingdao Red Lions?
The model expects 1.84 goals (Tai'an Tiankuang 1.11 · Qingdao Red Lions 0.72), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Tai'an Tiankuang vs Qingdao Red Lions?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.