Football · China Division 2 · 19/07, 13:30

Prediction: Nantong Haimen Codion vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.84Total

Nantong Haimen Codion1.2

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic0.64

1X2

49% 31% 19%

Nantong Haimen Codion Draw Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Nantong Haimen Codion 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

DDLWDDLDDL

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLDDDDDL

Head-to-head

Nantong Haimen Codion 2–3–0 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic (5 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nantong Haimen Codion 1478 · Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 1481

	Nantong Haimen Codion	Draw	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Our model	48%	33%	18%
Market	50%	30%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 1.84 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Nantong Haimen Codion: 2-3-0.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nantong Haimen Codion	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.1	0.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.8	2.7 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nantong Haimen Codion 2–3–0 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/04/26 China Division 2	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	0-0 HT 0-0	Nantong Haimen Codion
08/06/25 China Division 2	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	1-1 HT 1-0	Nantong Haimen Codion
30/03/25 China Division 2	Nantong Haimen Codion	0-0 HT 0-0	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
02/06/24 China Division 2	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	0-2 HT 0-1	Nantong Haimen Codion
23/03/24 China Division 2	Nantong Haimen Codion	2-1	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shandong Taishan Reserves	16	10	2	4	23	13	32
2	Shanghai Port Reserves	15	9	4	2	27	10	31
3	Dalian Kewei	16	6	8	2	13	8	26
4	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	15	7	3	5	20	14	24
5	Tai'an Tiankuang	15	6	4	5	16	14	22
6	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	15	4	9	2	14	12	21
7	Qingdao Red Lions	16	3	8	5	14	15	17
8	Nantong Haimen Codion	15	2	8	5	16	16	14
9	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	14	2	8	4	5	10	14
10	Changchun Xidu	15	2	8	5	8	18	14
11	Shanghai Segenda	16	2	6	8	15	28	12
12	Beijing Institute	14	1	6	7	11	24	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nantong Haimen Codion	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Dalian Kewei	1-2 L	0-0 D
Changchun Xidu	0-0 D	0-0 D
Shanghai Port Reserves	2-2 D	0-1 L
Dalian Young Boy Reserves	1-2 L	0-0 D
Shandong Taishan Reserves	0-0 D	1-3 L
Shanghai Segenda	2-2 D	1-2 L
Qingdao Red Lions	1-0 W	1-0 W
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	1-1 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 5 D 2 L	1 W 4 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Nantong Haimen Codion (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Nantong Haimen Codion

DDLWDDLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/07	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	1-0	1-2	3	6	L
27/06	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	8	0	D
23/06	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	2-0	2-2	4	3	D
19/06	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	1-0	1-2	7	3	L
13/06	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
27/05	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	1-2	2-2	5	5	D
23/05	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-0	1-0	9	5	W
09/05	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	0-1	1-2	1	1	L
04/05	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-1	1-1	4	6	D
30/04	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-0	11	2	D

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

LWWLDDDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/07	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-2	1-3	6	3	L
27/06	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
23/06	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
19/06	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China FA Cup	1-1	1-1	10	3	D
13/06	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
05/06	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
26/05	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
16/05	Meizhou Hakka China FA Cup	2-0	2-1	6	3	W
10/05	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
04/05	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	0-0	1-2	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nantong Haimen Codion vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nantong Haimen Codion win (49%). Probabilities: Nantong Haimen Codion 49%, draw 31%, Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 19%.

How many goals are expected in Nantong Haimen Codion vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic?

The model expects 1.84 goals (Nantong Haimen Codion 1.2 · Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 0.64), with a 57% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Nantong Haimen Codion vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.