Football · China Division 2 · 29/07, 13:30

Prediction: Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Tai'an Tiankuang

Team pages: Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic · Tai'an Tiankuang

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.67Total

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic0.77

Tai'an Tiankuang0.9

1X2

29% 35% 36%

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic Draw Tai'an Tiankuang

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 51% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 1-7-2 (W-D-L)

LDDDDDLDWD

Tai'an Tiankuang 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWWDLLDLWW

Head-to-head

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 0–2–3 Tai'an Tiankuang (5 last)

Tai'an Tiankuang0-0Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic1-2Tai'an Tiankuang
Tai'an Tiankuang3-0Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Tai'an Tiankuang1-1Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic0-1Tai'an Tiankuang

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 1490 · Tai'an Tiankuang 1519

	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	Draw	Tai'an Tiankuang
Our model	28%	37%	35%
Market	30%	33%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 1.67 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tai'an Tiankuang: 3-2-0.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	Tai'an Tiankuang
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 0.7	1.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/70/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.9	2.8 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.00

X2.75

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.08

2 (0)1.73

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.82

Under 1.751.98

Diff.: 0 · xG: 1.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.19 ★
X	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
2	2.40 → 2.40	Pinn 2.51

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
19:42 +22’	3.00	2.75	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:06	3.18	2.54	2.52
23:03	3.05▼	2.52▼	2.63▲
00:01 +1’	3.19▲	2.54▲	2.51▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 0–2–3 Tai'an Tiankuang

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 China Division 2	Tai'an Tiankuang	0-0 HT 0-0	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
02/07/25 China Division 2	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	1-2 HT 1-2	Tai'an Tiankuang
27/04/25 China Division 2	Tai'an Tiankuang	3-0 HT 0-0	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
24/06/24 China Division 2	Tai'an Tiankuang	1-1 HT 0-0	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
10/04/24 China Division 2	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	0-1 HT 0-0	Tai'an Tiankuang

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shandong Taishan Reserves	18	11	3	4	26	15	36
2	Shanghai Port Reserves	17	10	4	3	31	13	34
3	Dalian Kewei	18	8	8	2	16	8	32
4	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	17	9	3	5	24	15	30
5	Tai'an Tiankuang	17	8	4	5	20	16	28
6	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	17	4	9	4	15	16	21
7	Qingdao Red Lions	18	4	8	6	20	17	20
8	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	16	2	10	4	7	12	16
9	Nantong Haimen Codion	17	2	9	6	16	18	15
10	Changchun Xidu	17	2	9	6	9	21	15
11	Shanghai Segenda	18	2	7	9	18	32	13
12	Beijing Institute	16	1	6	9	12	31	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	Tai'an Tiankuang
Shanghai Segenda	2-2 D	0-0 D
Nantong Haimen Codion	0-0 D	2-1 W
Shandong Taishan Reserves	1-3 L	0-1 L
Dalian Young Boy Reserves	0-0 D	1-0 W
Changchun Xidu	0-0 D	0-1 L
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	0-0 D	2-3 L
Dalian Kewei	0-0 D	2-1 W
Shanghai Port Reserves	0-1 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	0 W 6 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Tai'an Tiankuang (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	0-1	2-2	6	2	D
22/07	Shaanxi Union China FA Cup	0-0	2-0	4	4	W
19/07	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
04/07	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-2	1-3	6	3	L
27/06	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
23/06	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
19/06	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China FA Cup	1-1	1-1	10	3	D
13/06	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
05/06	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
26/05	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	0-1	0-1	4	2	L

Tai'an Tiankuang

WWWDLLDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	1-1	3-2	7	1	W
19/07	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	1-0	1-0	7	5	W
05/07	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
28/06	Beijing Institute China Division 2	1-1	1-1	7	2	D
24/06	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-2	2-3	6	4	L
20/06	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
13/06	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
26/05	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	2-1	2-1	3	3	W
22/05	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
09/05	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	1-0	2-1	2	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Tai'an Tiankuang?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tai'an Tiankuang win (36%). Probabilities: Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 29%, draw 35%, Tai'an Tiankuang 36%.

How many goals are expected in Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Tai'an Tiankuang?

The model expects 1.67 goals (Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 0.77 · Tai'an Tiankuang 0.9), with a 53% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Tai'an Tiankuang?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.