Football · China Division 2 · 05/08, 10:30

Prediction: Shanghai Port Reserves vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Team pages: Shanghai Port Reserves · Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.42Total

Shanghai Port Reserves1.32

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1.1

1X2

41% 29% 30%

Shanghai Port Reserves Draw Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Shanghai Port Reserves 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLDLWWLW

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDDWLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Shanghai Port Reserves 2–1–0 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai (3 last)

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai0-3Shanghai Port Reserves
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai0-0Shanghai Port Reserves
Shanghai Port Reserves5-0Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shanghai Port Reserves 1542 · Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 1566

	Shanghai Port Reserves	Draw	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Our model	41%	30%	30%
Market	41%	29%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Shanghai Port Reserves: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shanghai Port Reserves	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.1	1.6 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.9	1.5 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.10

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
02:55 +12’	2.20	3.10	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Shanghai Port Reserves 2–1–0 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 China Division 2	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	0-3 HT 0-3	Shanghai Port Reserves
07/06/25 China Division 2	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	0-0 HT 0-0	Shanghai Port Reserves
30/03/25 China Division 2	Shanghai Port Reserves	5-0 HT 3-0	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shanghai Port Reserves	18	11	4	3	33	14	37
2	Shandong Taishan Reserves	19	11	4	4	28	17	37
3	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	18	10	3	5	26	15	33
4	Dalian Kewei	19	8	9	2	18	10	33
5	Tai'an Tiankuang	19	8	5	6	23	20	29
6	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	18	4	9	5	16	18	21
7	Nantong Haimen Codion	19	4	9	6	20	20	21
8	Qingdao Red Lions	19	4	9	6	20	17	21
9	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	18	2	12	4	9	14	18
10	Changchun Xidu	18	2	10	6	10	22	16
11	Shanghai Segenda	19	2	8	9	19	33	14
12	Beijing Institute	18	1	6	11	13	35	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shanghai Port Reserves	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Dalian Young Boy Reserves	2-1 W	2-1 W
Tai'an Tiankuang	2-3 L	3-2 W
Beijing Institute	5-1 W	2-0 W
Dalian Kewei	0-1 L	2-0 W
Nantong Haimen Codion	2-2 D	2-0 W
Shanghai Segenda	1-1 D	2-0 W
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	1-0 W	0-0 D
Shandong Taishan Reserves	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Shanghai Port Reserves

WWDLDLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-1	2-1	4	1	W
26/07	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	1-1	2-3	3	1	L
18/07	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	1-0	2-0	0	6	W
04/07	Beijing Institute China Division 2	4-1	5-1	9	1	W
27/06	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
23/06	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-2	2-2	3	3	D
14/06	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
06/06	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
26/05	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
22/05	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	1-0	1-0	6	5	W

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

WDDWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Beijing Institute China Division 2	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
26/07	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
19/07	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	2-0	2-1	1	2	W
08/07	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	1-0	2-0	1	4	W
05/07	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	0-0	2-0	1	4	W
28/06	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
24/06	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	2-0	3-2	5	4	W
19/06	Qingdao West Coast China FA Cup	1-1	1-1	1	4	D
13/06	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
06/06	Beijing Institute China Division 2	1-0	2-1	8	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shanghai Port Reserves vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shanghai Port Reserves win (41%). Probabilities: Shanghai Port Reserves 41%, draw 29%, Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 30%.

How many goals are expected in Shanghai Port Reserves vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai?

The model expects 2.42 goals (Shanghai Port Reserves 1.32 · Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 1.1), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Shanghai Port Reserves vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.