Football · China Division 2 · 01/08, 12:30

Prediction: Qingdao Red Lions vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

Team pages: Qingdao Red Lions · Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.86Total

Qingdao Red Lions1.13

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic0.73

1X2

45% 31% 24%

Qingdao Red Lions Draw Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 57% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

Qingdao Red Lions 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDDWDLLW

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 1-8-1 (W-D-L)

DDDDDLDWDD

Head-to-head

Qingdao Red Lions 0–1 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic (1 last)

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic1-0Qingdao Red Lions

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Qingdao Red Lions 1513 · Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 1502

	Qingdao Red Lions	Draw	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Our model	44%	34%	23%
Market	46%	29%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 1.86 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Qingdao Red Lions	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.2	0.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.2	2.8 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.6	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.10

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.02

2 (+0.5)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
09:11 +2’	1.95	3.10	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Qingdao Red Lions 0–0–1 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 China Division 2	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	1-0 HT 0-0	Qingdao Red Lions

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shandong Taishan Reserves	18	11	3	4	26	15	36
2	Shanghai Port Reserves	17	10	4	3	31	13	34
3	Dalian Kewei	18	8	8	2	16	8	32
4	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	17	9	3	5	24	15	30
5	Tai'an Tiankuang	18	8	5	5	22	18	29
6	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	17	4	9	4	15	16	21
7	Qingdao Red Lions	18	4	8	6	20	17	20
8	Nantong Haimen Codion	18	3	9	6	18	19	18
9	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	17	2	11	4	9	14	17
10	Changchun Xidu	17	2	9	6	9	21	15
11	Shanghai Segenda	18	2	7	9	18	32	13
12	Beijing Institute	17	1	6	10	13	33	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Qingdao Red Lions	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Tai'an Tiankuang	0-1 L	2-2 D
Shandong Taishan Reserves	0-1 L	1-3 L
Dalian Young Boy Reserves	0-0 D	0-0 D
Shanghai Segenda	2-0 W	2-2 D
Dalian Kewei	0-0 D	0-0 D
Changchun Xidu	1-1 D	0-0 D
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	3-2 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	0 W 6 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Qingdao Red Lions (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Qingdao Red Lions

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/07	Beijing Institute China Division 2	3-0	6-1	2	1	W
19/07	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
12/07	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
05/07	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
27/06	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
23/06	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
20/06	Wuhan Three Towns China FA Cup	0-0	0-0	0	3	D
14/06	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	1-0	2-1	8	3	W
07/06	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	1-0	1-1	0	3	D
27/05	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	2-0	3-2	3	8	W

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

DDDDDLDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	1-0	2-2	5	3	D
25/07	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	0-1	2-2	6	2	D
22/07	Shaanxi Union China FA Cup	0-0	2-0	4	4	W
19/07	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
04/07	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-2	1-3	6	3	L
27/06	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
23/06	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
19/06	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China FA Cup	1-1	1-1	10	3	D
13/06	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
05/06	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	0-0	0-0	8	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Qingdao Red Lions vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Qingdao Red Lions win (45%). Probabilities: Qingdao Red Lions 45%, draw 31%, Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 24%.

How many goals are expected in Qingdao Red Lions vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic?

The model expects 1.86 goals (Qingdao Red Lions 1.13 · Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 0.73), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Qingdao Red Lions vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.