Football · China Division 2 · 08/08, 13:30

Prediction: Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Jiangxi Lushan

Team pages: Wuhan Three Towns Reserves · Jiangxi Lushan

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.88Total
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves0.95
Jiangxi Lushan0.93
1X2
34% 33% 33%
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves Draw Jiangxi Lushan
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLDLLWLDWW
Jiangxi Lushan 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLLWWLDLDW
Head-to-head
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 0–2–1 Jiangxi Lushan (3 last)
  • Jiangxi Lushan2-1Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
  • Jiangxi Lushan0-0Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
  • Wuhan Three Towns Reserves1-1Jiangxi Lushan
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 1480 · Jiangxi Lushan 1508
Wuhan Three Towns ReservesDrawJiangxi Lushan
Our model33%35%32%
Market35%32%33%
Estimated total (ours) 1.88 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Wuhan Three Towns ReservesJiangxi Lushan
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 10.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.60.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/70/30%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 5.41.2 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 02.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 021 Jiangxi Lushan

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/05/26
China Division 2
Jiangxi Lushan2-1
HT 1-0
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
25/10/25
China Division 2
Jiangxi Lushan0-0
HT 0-0
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
21/09/25
China Division 2
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves1-1
HT 1-1
Jiangxi Lushan

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 191315 291340
2 Shenzhen 2028 19964 302333
3 Hubei Istar 19874 261931
4 Jiangxi Lushan 19856 221729
5 Ganzhou Ruishi 19685 181926
6 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 195104 192525
7 Xiamen Feilu 19676 272625
8 Guangdong Mingtu 194105 191922
9 Guangzhou Dandelion 19559 192720
10 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 19469 152118
11 Wenzhou FC 19388 122217
12 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 19379 162116

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentWuhan Three Towns ReservesJiangxi Lushan
Guangzhou Dandelion 4-1 W 2-0 W
Hubei Istar 1-1 D 1-0 W
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 0-1 L 2-1 W
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 1-0 W 1-0 W
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 0-1 L 1-2 L
Wenzhou FC 1-2 L 1-1 D
Shenzhen 2028 1-1 D 1-2 L
Ganzhou Ruishi 0-1 L 0-1 L
Guangdong Mingtu 0-1 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 5 L 4 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Jiangxi Lushan (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves

LLDLLWLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 Guangzhou Dandelion
China Division 2
0-1 4-1 83 W
29/07 Xiamen Feilu
China Division 2
1-1 2-1 23 W
26/07 Hubei Istar
China Division 2
1-1 1-1 91 D
19/07 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
China Division 2
0-0 0-1 01 L
04/07 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves
China Division 2
0-0 1-0 61 W
28/06 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
China Division 2
0-0 0-1 81 L
24/06 Wenzhou FC
China Division 2
0-1 1-2 33 L
20/06 Shenzhen 2028
China Division 2
1-1 1-1 83 D
14/06 Ganzhou Ruishi
China Division 2
0-1 0-1 65 L
27/05 Guangdong Mingtu
China Division 2
0-0 0-1 45 L

Jiangxi Lushan

WLLWWLDLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/08 Hubei Istar
China Division 2
0-0 1-0 21 W
01/08 Wenzhou FC
China Division 2
1-1 1-1 42 D
25/07 Shenzhen 2028
China Division 2
0-0 1-2 22 L
19/07 Guangdong Mingtu
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 34 D
08/07 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
China Division 2
0-1 1-2 54 L
05/07 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
China Division 2
1-0 2-1 26 W
28/06 Guangzhou Dandelion
China Division 2
2-0 2-0 42 W
24/06 Ganzhou Ruishi
China Division 2
0-0 0-1 41 L
19/06 Henan
China FA Cup
0-0 0-2 13 L
13/06 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves
China Division 2
1-0 1-0 31 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Jiangxi Lushan?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wuhan Three Towns Reserves win (34%). Probabilities: Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 34%, draw 33%, Jiangxi Lushan 33%.

How many goals are expected in Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Jiangxi Lushan?

The model expects 1.88 goals (Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 0.95 · Jiangxi Lushan 0.93), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Jiangxi Lushan?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.