Football · China Division 2 · 08/08, 13:30

Prediction: Shenzhen 2028 vs Ganzhou Ruishi

Team pages: Shenzhen 2028 · Ganzhou Ruishi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Shenzhen 20282.23

Ganzhou Ruishi0.47

1X2

77% 17% 6%

Shenzhen 2028 Draw Ganzhou Ruishi

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Shenzhen 2028 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWDDWWL

Ganzhou Ruishi 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWWDDDLD

Head-to-head

Shenzhen 2028 0–2–1 Ganzhou Ruishi (3 last)

Ganzhou Ruishi3-0Shenzhen 2028
Shenzhen 20280-0Ganzhou Ruishi
Ganzhou Ruishi1-1Shenzhen 2028

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shenzhen 2028 1551 · Ganzhou Ruishi 1506

	Shenzhen 2028	Draw	Ganzhou Ruishi
Our model	77%	17%	6%
Market	78%	16%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shenzhen 2028 (rating 1551 vs 1506).
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shenzhen 2028	Ganzhou Ruishi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.8	0.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/80/0%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.8	0.3 / 1.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.17

X5.50

215.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)2.00

2 (+2)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.17 → 1.17	Bet365 1.17
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:35 +6’	1.17	5.50	15.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Shenzhen 2028 0–2–1 Ganzhou Ruishi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 China Division 2	Ganzhou Ruishi	3-0 HT 1-0	Shenzhen 2028
21/06/25 China Division 2	Shenzhen 2028	0-0 HT 0-0	Ganzhou Ruishi
08/04/25 China Division 2	Ganzhou Ruishi	1-1 HT 0-0	Shenzhen 2028

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	19	13	1	5	29	13	40
2	Shenzhen 2028	19	9	6	4	30	23	33
3	Hubei Istar	19	8	7	4	26	19	31
4	Jiangxi Lushan	19	8	5	6	22	17	29
5	Ganzhou Ruishi	19	6	8	5	18	19	26
6	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	19	5	10	4	19	25	25
7	Xiamen Feilu	19	6	7	6	27	26	25
8	Guangdong Mingtu	19	4	10	5	19	19	22
9	Guangzhou Dandelion	19	5	5	9	19	27	20
10	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	19	4	6	9	15	21	18
11	Wenzhou FC	19	3	8	8	12	22	17
12	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	19	3	7	9	16	21	16

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shenzhen 2028	Ganzhou Ruishi
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	0-1 L	0-3 L
Jiangxi Lushan	2-1 W	1-0 W
Guangzhou Dandelion	3-1 W	0-2 L
Guangdong Mingtu	2-2 D	0-2 L
Xiamen Feilu	0-0 D	0-0 D
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	1-0 W	1-1 D
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	3-1 W	1-1 D
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	1-1 D	1-0 W
Hubei Istar	2-1 W	4-4 D
Wenzhou FC	4-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 3 D 1 L	3 W 4 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Shenzhen 2028 (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shenzhen 2028

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
25/07	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-0	2-1	3	2	W
18/07	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	1-1	3-1	4	2	W
11/07	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	2-1	2-2	6	4	D
05/07	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
28/06	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
24/06	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	1-1	3-1	2	2	W
20/06	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	1-1	1-1	9	3	D
14/06	Hubei Istar China Division 2	1-1	2-1	4	5	W
26/05	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	1-0	4-0	4	3	W

Ganzhou Ruishi

LWLWWDDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
25/07	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	0-2	0-3	1	1	L
18/07	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	0	5	D
11/07	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
04/07	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-2	4-4	2	0	D
28/06	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	1-0	1-0	0	4	W
24/06	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-0	1-0	1	1	W
19/06	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
14/06	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
27/05	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	0-2	0-2	1	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shenzhen 2028 vs Ganzhou Ruishi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shenzhen 2028 win (77%). Probabilities: Shenzhen 2028 77%, draw 17%, Ganzhou Ruishi 6%.

How many goals are expected in Shenzhen 2028 vs Ganzhou Ruishi?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Shenzhen 2028 2.23 · Ganzhou Ruishi 0.47), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Shenzhen 2028 vs Ganzhou Ruishi?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.