Football · China Division 2 · 22/08, 10:00

Prediction: Tai'an Tiankuang vs Shanghai Segenda

Team pages: Tai'an Tiankuang · Shanghai Segenda

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.25Total

Tai'an Tiankuang1.51

Shanghai Segenda0.74

1X2

55% 27% 18%

Tai'an Tiankuang Draw Shanghai Segenda

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Tai'an Tiankuang 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Shanghai Segenda 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Tai'an Tiankuang 0–1–0 Shanghai Segenda (1 last)

Shanghai Segenda0-0Tai'an Tiankuang

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tai'an Tiankuang 1472 · Shanghai Segenda 1410

	Tai'an Tiankuang	Draw	Shanghai Segenda
Our model	55%	28%	17%
Market	56%	26%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tai'an Tiankuang (rating 1472 vs 1410).
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tai'an Tiankuang	Shanghai Segenda
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.3	0.8 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 7.3	2 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.40

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
01:56 +5’	1.61	3.40	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tai'an Tiankuang 0–1–0 Shanghai Segenda

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 China Division 2	Shanghai Segenda	0-0 HT 0-0	Tai'an Tiankuang

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shandong Taishan Reserves	21	12	4	5	31	19	40
2	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	21	12	3	6	29	17	39
3	Dalian Kewei	21	9	10	2	21	12	37
4	Shanghai Port Reserves	21	11	4	6	34	19	37
5	Tai'an Tiankuang	21	8	6	7	23	21	30
6	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	21	6	10	5	18	18	28
7	Nantong Haimen Codion	21	5	10	6	23	21	25
8	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	21	4	13	4	13	16	25
9	Qingdao Red Lions	21	5	10	6	22	18	25
10	Changchun Xidu	21	2	11	8	13	27	17
11	Shanghai Segenda	21	2	8	11	20	37	14
12	Beijing Institute	21	2	7	12	17	39	13

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tai'an Tiankuang	Shanghai Segenda
Dalian Kewei	0-1 L	1-1 D
Dalian Young Boy Reserves	0-0 D	1-2 L
Nantong Haimen Codion	1-2 L	0-2 L
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	2-2 D	2-2 D
Qingdao Red Lions	1-0 W	0-2 L
Changchun Xidu	0-1 L	1-1 D
Beijing Institute	1-1 D	1-2 L
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	2-3 L	0-2 L
Shandong Taishan Reserves	0-1 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 5 L	0 W 3 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Tai'an Tiankuang (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Tai'an Tiankuang

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	0-0	0-1	12	6	L
08/08	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
02/08	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-2	1-2	10	3	L
29/07	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-1	2-2	5	3	D
26/07	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	1-1	3-2	7	1	W
19/07	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	1-0	1-0	7	5	W
05/07	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
28/06	Beijing Institute China Division 2	1-1	1-1	7	2	D
24/06	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-2	2-3	6	4	L
20/06	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-1	7	5	L

Shanghai Segenda

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
08/08	Beijing Institute China Division 2	1-0	1-2	5	5	L
02/08	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	1-0	1-1	4	7	D
25/07	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	1-0	2-2	4	2	D
18/07	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	1-1	1-2	5	2	L
12/07	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
05/07	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
27/06	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
23/06	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
19/06	Shanghai Port China FA Cup	0-1	1-2	3	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tai'an Tiankuang vs Shanghai Segenda?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tai'an Tiankuang win (55%). Probabilities: Tai'an Tiankuang 55%, draw 27%, Shanghai Segenda 18%.

How many goals are expected in Tai'an Tiankuang vs Shanghai Segenda?

The model expects 2.25 goals (Tai'an Tiankuang 1.51 · Shanghai Segenda 0.74), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Tai'an Tiankuang vs Shanghai Segenda?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.