Prediction: Guangzhou Dandelion vs Guangdong Mingtu
Expected goals: 1.97 (Guangzhou Dandelion 1.23 · Guangdong Mingtu 0.74). The model gives 47% home, 30% draw, 22% away. Under 2 goals (51%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-0.
On recent form, Guangzhou Dandelion is 1-3-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Guangdong Mingtu 2-5-3 over its own. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Guangzhou Dandelion and 0 for Guangdong Mingtu.
| Guangzhou Dandelion | Draw | Guangdong Mingtu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 32% | 21% |
| Market | 48% | 29% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Guangzhou Dandelion: 3-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guangzhou Dandelion | Guangdong Mingtu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 20/80/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.4 | 2.8 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guangzhou Dandelion 3–0–0 Guangdong Mingtu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/26 China Division 2 | Guangdong Mingtu | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Guangzhou Dandelion |
| 22/06/25 China Division 2 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Guangdong Mingtu |
| 08/04/25 China Division 2 | Guangdong Mingtu | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Guangzhou Dandelion |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 11 | 28 |
| 2 | Shenzhen 2028 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 25 |
| 3 | Hubei Istar | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Xiamen Feilu | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 23 |
| 5 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| 6 | Jiangxi Lushan | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 21 |
| 7 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 18 |
| 8 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 15 |
| 9 | Wenzhou FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 14 |
| 10 | Guangdong Mingtu | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 13 |
| 11 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 13 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 14 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 6 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guangzhou Dandelion | Guangdong Mingtu |
|---|---|---|
| Jiangxi Lushan | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Hubei Istar | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Ganzhou Ruishi | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Xiamen Feilu | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Wenzhou FC | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Shenzhen 2028 | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 5 L | 2 W 4 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Guangdong Mingtu (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guangzhou Dandelion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 24/06 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 19/06 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 27/05 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Wuxi Wugo China FA Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 05/05 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 29/04 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
Guangdong Mingtu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 23/06 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 19/06 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 22/05 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 30/04 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guangzhou Dandelion vs Guangdong Mingtu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guangzhou Dandelion win (47%). Probabilities: Guangzhou Dandelion 47%, draw 30%, Guangdong Mingtu 22%.
How many goals are expected in Guangzhou Dandelion vs Guangdong Mingtu?
The model expects 1.97 goals (Guangzhou Dandelion 1.23 · Guangdong Mingtu 0.74), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Guangzhou Dandelion vs Guangdong Mingtu?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.