Football · China Division 2 · 04/07, 13:30

Prediction: Ganzhou Ruishi vs Hubei Istar

Expected goals: 1.98 (Ganzhou Ruishi 1.12 · Hubei Istar 0.86). The model gives 40% home, 32% draw, 27% away. Under 2 goals (53%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 0-0.

Recent form leaves Ganzhou Ruishi with 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Hubei Istar has piled up 4-3-3 in the same span. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Ganzhou Ruishi won 2 and Hubei Istar 1, with 1 draw.

40%1
40% 32% 27%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ganzhou Ruishi 1524 · Hubei Istar 1519
Ganzhou RuishiDrawHubei Istar
Our model40%33%27%
Market41%31%28%
Estimated total (ours) 1.98 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals1.98Ganzhou Ruishi 1.12 · Hubei Istar 0.86
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 53%
BTTSNo · 52%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Ganzhou Ruishi: 2-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ganzhou RuishiHubei Istar
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 0.61.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.40.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)0.8 / 2.31.2 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.23.3 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ganzhou Ruishi 211 Hubei Istar

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/04/26
China Division 2
Hubei Istar2-1
HT 1-0
Ganzhou Ruishi
21/09/24
China Division 2
Ganzhou Ruishi1-1
HT 0-0
Hubei Istar
17/08/24
China Division 2
Hubei Istar1-2
HT 1-2
Ganzhou Ruishi
09/11/22
China Division 2
Hubei Istar0-1
HT 0-1
Ganzhou Ruishi

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 14914 211128
2 Shenzhen 2028 14743 231825
3 Hubei Istar 14743 191225
4 Xiamen Feilu 14653 241723
5 Ganzhou Ruishi 14644 121022
6 Jiangxi Lushan 13634 161121
7 Guangzhou Dandelion 14536 151718
8 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 13364 132115
9 Wenzhou FC 14356 101714
10 Guangdong Mingtu 14275 131613
11 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 14347 91613
12 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 14068 8176

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGanzhou RuishiHubei Istar
Wenzhou FC 1-0 W 1-1 D
Guangdong Mingtu 0-2 L 2-1 W
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 1-0 W 0-0 D
Guangzhou Dandelion 0-2 L 3-2 W
Shenzhen 2028 3-0 W 1-2 L
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 1-0 W 0-1 L
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 0-1 L 2-0 W
Xiamen Feilu 2-1 W 0-0 D
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 0-0 D 3-0 W
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 3 L 4 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ganzhou Ruishi (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ganzhou Ruishi

DWLWWLWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Wenzhou FC
China Division 2
1-0 1-0 04 W
24/06 Jiangxi Lushan
China Division 2
0-0 1-0 11 W
19/06 Guangdong Mingtu
China Division 2
0-1 0-2 43 L
14/06 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
China Division 2
1-0 1-0 25 W
27/05 Guangzhou Dandelion
China Division 2
0-2 0-2 14 L
22/05 Shenzhen 2028
China Division 2
1-0 3-0 46 W
09/05 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
China Division 2
0-0 1-0 13 W
05/05 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
China Division 2
0-0 0-1 42 L
29/04 Xiamen Feilu
China Division 2
0-1 2-1 28 W
24/04 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 42 D

Hubei Istar

DDWLWLLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
China Division 2
2-0 2-0 28 W
23/06 Xiamen Feilu
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 51 D
19/06 Guangzhou Dandelion
China Division 2
2-0 3-2 02 W
14/06 Shenzhen 2028
China Division 2
1-1 1-2 45 L
26/05 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
China Division 2
0-1 0-1 47 L
22/05 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves
China Division 2
1-0 3-0 43 W
17/05 Guangxi Hengchen
China FA Cup
0-2 0-4 30 L
10/05 Guangdong Mingtu
China Division 2
0-0 2-1 34 W
04/05 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 24 D
29/04 Wenzhou FC
China Division 2
0-1 1-1 81 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ganzhou Ruishi vs Hubei Istar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ganzhou Ruishi win (40%). Probabilities: Ganzhou Ruishi 40%, draw 32%, Hubei Istar 27%.

How many goals are expected in Ganzhou Ruishi vs Hubei Istar?

The model expects 1.98 goals (Ganzhou Ruishi 1.12 · Hubei Istar 0.86), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Ganzhou Ruishi vs Hubei Istar?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.