Prediction: Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves vs Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
Expected goals: 1.68 (Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 1.06 · Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 0.62). The model gives 46% home, 33% draw, 21% away. Under 2 goals (60%) and not both to score (56%). Most likely score: 0-0.
Over its last 10 matches, Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves sits at 0-4-6 (W-D-L), while Wuhan Three Towns Reserves arrives on a 0-3-7 run. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves and 0 for Wuhan Three Towns Reserves, with 1 draw.
| Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 36% | 20% |
| Market | 47% | 30% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 1.3 | 0.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.3 | 2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 2–1–0 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/26 China Division 2 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves |
| 14/06/25 China Division 2 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves |
| 04/04/25 China Division 2 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 11 | 28 |
| 2 | Shenzhen 2028 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 25 |
| 3 | Hubei Istar | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Xiamen Feilu | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 23 |
| 5 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| 6 | Jiangxi Lushan | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 21 |
| 7 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 18 |
| 8 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 15 |
| 9 | Wenzhou FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 14 |
| 10 | Guangdong Mingtu | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 13 |
| 11 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 13 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 14 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 6 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Shenzhen 2028 | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Guangzhou Dandelion | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Wenzhou FC | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Jiangxi Lushan | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Hubei Istar | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Xiamen Feilu | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Guangdong Mingtu | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Ganzhou Ruishi | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 6 L | 0 W 3 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 24/06 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 26/05 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/05 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 29/04 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 24/06 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 27/05 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 04/05 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 29/04 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves vs Wuhan Three Towns Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves win (46%). Probabilities: Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 46%, draw 33%, Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 21%.
How many goals are expected in Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves vs Wuhan Three Towns Reserves?
The model expects 1.68 goals (Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 1.06 · Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 0.62), with a 60% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves vs Wuhan Three Towns Reserves?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.