Football · China Division 2 · 05/07, 13:30

Prediction: Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Wenzhou FC

Expected goals: 2 (Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 1.16 · Wenzhou FC 0.84). The model gives 42% home, 32% draw, 26% away. Under 2 goals (53%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 0-0.

On recent form, Hangzhou Linping Wuyue is 3-4-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Wenzhou FC 3-3-4 over its own. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Hangzhou Linping Wuyue won 2 and Wenzhou FC 1.

42%1
42% 32% 26%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 1502 · Wenzhou FC 1476
Hangzhou Linping WuyueDrawWenzhou FC
Our model42%33%25%
Market43%31%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 1.16 · Wenzhou FC 0.84
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 53%
BTTSNo · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Hangzhou Linping Wuyue: 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Hangzhou Linping WuyueWenzhou FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.60.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.70.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 41.7 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.23 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 201 Wenzhou FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/04/26
China Division 2
Wenzhou FC0-1
HT 0-1
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
27/09/25
China Division 2
Wenzhou FC2-0
HT 0-0
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
22/08/25
China Division 2
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue1-0
HT 0-0
Wenzhou FC

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 14914 211128
2 Shenzhen 2028 14743 231825
3 Hubei Istar 14743 191225
4 Xiamen Feilu 14653 241723
5 Ganzhou Ruishi 14644 121022
6 Jiangxi Lushan 13634 161121
7 Guangzhou Dandelion 14536 151718
8 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 13364 132115
9 Wenzhou FC 14356 101714
10 Guangdong Mingtu 14275 131613
11 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 14347 91613
12 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 14068 8176

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHangzhou Linping WuyueWenzhou FC
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 1-0 W 2-1 W
Shenzhen 2028 1-3 L 0-4 L
Guangdong Mingtu 1-1 D 1-1 D
Hubei Istar 1-0 W 1-1 D
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 0-7 L 0-1 L
Ganzhou Ruishi 0-1 L 0-1 L
Xiamen Feilu 2-2 D 1-0 W
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 1-1 D 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 3 L 3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Wenzhou FC (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue

DDLWLWDDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
China Division 2
0-0 1-0 11 W
24/06 Shenzhen 2028
China Division 2
1-1 1-3 22 L
19/06 Dalian Young Boy
China FA Cup
0-1 1-1 26 D
13/06 Guangdong Mingtu
China Division 2
0-0 1-1 13 D
26/05 Hubei Istar
China Division 2
1-0 1-0 47 W
22/05 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
China Division 2
0-3 0-7 35 L
15/05 Foshan Nanshi
China FA Cup
0-0 1-0 62 W
09/05 Ganzhou Ruishi
China Division 2
0-0 0-1 83 L
04/05 Xiamen Feilu
China Division 2
1-1 2-2 58 D
29/04 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves
China Division 2
0-1 1-1 83 D

Wenzhou FC

LDDLDLWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Ganzhou Ruishi
China Division 2
0-1 0-1 104 L
24/06 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
China Division 2
1-0 2-1 13 W
20/06 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves
China Division 2
1-0 2-1 64 W
13/06 Xiamen Feilu
China Division 2
1-0 1-0 64 W
26/05 Shenzhen 2028
China Division 2
0-1 0-4 43 L
22/05 Guangdong Mingtu
China Division 2
1-1 1-1 24 D
09/05 Jiangxi Lushan
China Division 2
1-2 1-3 34 L
05/05 Guangzhou Dandelion
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 41 D
29/04 Hubei Istar
China Division 2
1-0 1-1 21 D
25/04 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
China Division 2
0-0 0-1 43 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Wenzhou FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hangzhou Linping Wuyue win (42%). Probabilities: Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 42%, draw 32%, Wenzhou FC 26%.

How many goals are expected in Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Wenzhou FC?

The model expects 2 goals (Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 1.16 · Wenzhou FC 0.84), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Wenzhou FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.