Prediction: Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic vs Jiangxi Lushan
Expected goals: 2.08 (Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 1.35 · Jiangxi Lushan 0.73). The model gives 51% home, 29% draw, 20% away. Under 2.25 goals (55%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Recent form leaves Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic with 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Jiangxi Lushan has piled up 6-1-3 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic and 1 for Jiangxi Lushan.
| Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | Draw | Jiangxi Lushan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 31% | 19% |
| Market | 52% | 28% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | Jiangxi Lushan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.6 | 1.5 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 0–0–1 Jiangxi Lushan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/26 China Division 2 | Jiangxi Lushan | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 11 | 28 |
| 2 | Shenzhen 2028 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 25 |
| 3 | Hubei Istar | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Xiamen Feilu | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 23 |
| 5 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| 6 | Jiangxi Lushan | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 21 |
| 7 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 18 |
| 8 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 15 |
| 9 | Wenzhou FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 14 |
| 10 | Guangdong Mingtu | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 13 |
| 11 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 13 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 14 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | Jiangxi Lushan |
|---|---|---|
| Guangdong Mingtu | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Xiamen Feilu | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Guangzhou Dandelion | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Shenzhen 2028 | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Ganzhou Ruishi | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Wenzhou FC | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 1 L | 5 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 23/06 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 19/06 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 26/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
3-0 | 7-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
Jiangxi Lushan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 24/06 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 19/06 | Henan China FA Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 27/05 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Dalian K'un City China FA Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 30/04 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic vs Jiangxi Lushan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic win (51%). Probabilities: Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 51%, draw 29%, Jiangxi Lushan 20%.
How many goals are expected in Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic vs Jiangxi Lushan?
The model expects 2.08 goals (Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 1.35 · Jiangxi Lushan 0.73), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic vs Jiangxi Lushan?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.