Football · China Division 2 · 19/07, 13:30
Prediction: Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.08Total
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves0.73
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic1.35
1X2
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
Draw
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
0–3
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 1432 · Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 1541
| Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | Draw | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 31% | 50% |
| Market | 21% | 28% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic (rating 1432 vs 1541).
- H2H favours Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic: 3-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 1.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/70/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.4 | 1.2 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 0–0–3 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/26 China Division 2 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves |
| 03/08/25 China Division 2 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic |
| 19/06/25 China Division 2 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 13 | 28 |
| 2 | Shenzhen 2028 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 27 |
| 3 | Hubei Istar | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 26 |
| 4 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 24 |
| 5 | Xiamen Feilu | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 24 |
| 6 | Jiangxi Lushan | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 24 |
| 7 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 23 | 20 |
| 8 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 19 |
| 9 | Guangdong Mingtu | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 17 |
| 10 | Wenzhou FC | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 15 |
| 11 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 14 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 0-1 L | 7-0 W |
| Shenzhen 2028 | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Ganzhou Ruishi | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Guangdong Mingtu | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Jiangxi Lushan | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Guangzhou Dandelion | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Hubei Istar | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 4 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 28/06 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 24/06 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 27/05 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 04/05 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 29/04 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 23/06 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 19/06 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 26/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
3-0 | 7-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic win (51%). Probabilities: Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 20%, draw 29%, Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 51%.
How many goals are expected in Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic?
The model expects 2.08 goals (Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 0.73 · Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 1.35), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.