Prediction: Jiangxi Lushan vs Guangdong Mingtu
| Jiangxi Lushan | Draw | Guangdong Mingtu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 31% | 20% |
| Market | 50% | 29% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jiangxi Lushan | Guangdong Mingtu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3 | 3.1 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jiangxi Lushan 0–1–0 Guangdong Mingtu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/26 China Division 2 | Guangdong Mingtu | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Jiangxi Lushan |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 13 | 28 |
| 2 | Shenzhen 2028 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 27 |
| 3 | Hubei Istar | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 26 |
| 4 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 24 |
| 5 | Xiamen Feilu | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 24 |
| 6 | Jiangxi Lushan | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 24 |
| 7 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 23 | 20 |
| 8 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 19 |
| 9 | Guangdong Mingtu | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 17 |
| 10 | Wenzhou FC | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 15 |
| 11 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 14 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jiangxi Lushan | Guangdong Mingtu |
|---|---|---|
| Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Guangzhou Dandelion | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Ganzhou Ruishi | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Xiamen Feilu | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Wenzhou FC | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Jiangxi Lushan (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jiangxi Lushan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 24/06 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 19/06 | Henan China FA Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 27/05 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Dalian K'un City China FA Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
Guangdong Mingtu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 27/06 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 23/06 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 19/06 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 22/05 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jiangxi Lushan vs Guangdong Mingtu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Jiangxi Lushan win (49%). Probabilities: Jiangxi Lushan 49%, draw 30%, Guangdong Mingtu 21%.
How many goals are expected in Jiangxi Lushan vs Guangdong Mingtu?
The model expects 2.12 goals (Jiangxi Lushan 1.34 · Guangdong Mingtu 0.78), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Jiangxi Lushan vs Guangdong Mingtu?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.