Football · China Division 2 · 25/07, 13:00
Prediction: Guangzhou Dandelion vs Wenzhou FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.07Total
Guangzhou Dandelion1.23
Wenzhou FC0.83
1X2
Guangzhou Dandelion
Draw
Wenzhou FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Guangzhou Dandelion
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Wenzhou FC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Guangzhou Dandelion
1–2–0
Wenzhou FC
(3 last)
- Wenzhou FC0-0Guangzhou Dandelion
- Wenzhou FC0-1Guangzhou Dandelion
- Guangzhou Dandelion0-0Wenzhou FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guangzhou Dandelion 1425 · Wenzhou FC 1478
| Guangzhou Dandelion | Draw | Wenzhou FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 32% | 24% |
| Market | 45% | 31% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.07 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wenzhou FC (rating 1425 vs 1478).
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guangzhou Dandelion | Wenzhou FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.8 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.8 | 2.4 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guangzhou Dandelion 1–2–0 Wenzhou FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/26 China Division 2 | Wenzhou FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Guangzhou Dandelion |
| 02/07/25 China Division 2 | Wenzhou FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Guangzhou Dandelion |
| 26/04/25 China Division 2 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Wenzhou FC |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 31 |
| 2 | Shenzhen 2028 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 21 | 30 |
| 3 | Hubei Istar | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 29 |
| 4 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 25 |
| 5 | Xiamen Feilu | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 25 |
| 6 | Jiangxi Lushan | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 25 |
| 7 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 23 | 21 |
| 8 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 19 |
| 9 | Guangdong Mingtu | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 18 |
| 10 | Wenzhou FC | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 15 |
| 11 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 15 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guangzhou Dandelion | Wenzhou FC |
|---|---|---|
| Shenzhen 2028 | 1-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Guangdong Mingtu | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Jiangxi Lushan | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Hubei Istar | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Ganzhou Ruishi | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Xiamen Feilu | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Wenzhou FC (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guangzhou Dandelion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/07 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 28/06 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 24/06 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 19/06 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 27/05 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Wuxi Wugo China FA Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
Wenzhou FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 16 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 24/06 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/05 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/05 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guangzhou Dandelion vs Wenzhou FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guangzhou Dandelion win (45%). Probabilities: Guangzhou Dandelion 45%, draw 31%, Wenzhou FC 24%.
How many goals are expected in Guangzhou Dandelion vs Wenzhou FC?
The model expects 2.07 goals (Guangzhou Dandelion 1.23 · Wenzhou FC 0.83), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Guangzhou Dandelion vs Wenzhou FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.