Football · China Division 2 · 25/07, 13:30

Prediction: Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic vs Ganzhou Ruishi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.22Total

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic1.7

Ganzhou Ruishi0.52

1X2

66% 24% 10%

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic Draw Ganzhou Ruishi

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWDLLW

Ganzhou Ruishi 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWWDDD

Head-to-head

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 2–1 Ganzhou Ruishi (3 last)

Ganzhou Ruishi0-1Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic5-0Ganzhou Ruishi
Ganzhou Ruishi2-0Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 1535 · Ganzhou Ruishi 1519

	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	Draw	Ganzhou Ruishi
Our model	65%	25%	10%
Market	66%	23%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	Ganzhou Ruishi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.7	1.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.5	0.3 / 1.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.36

X3.90

28.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.95

2 (+1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
04:57 +12’	1.36	3.90	8.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 2–0–1 Ganzhou Ruishi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/05/26 China Division 2	Ganzhou Ruishi	0-1 HT 0-0	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
02/07/25 China Division 2	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	5-0 HT 1-0	Ganzhou Ruishi
25/04/25 China Division 2	Ganzhou Ruishi	2-0 HT 0-0	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	16	10	1	5	23	13	31
2	Shenzhen 2028	17	8	6	3	28	21	30
3	Hubei Istar	16	8	5	3	25	17	29
4	Ganzhou Ruishi	17	6	7	4	17	15	25
5	Xiamen Feilu	16	6	7	3	24	17	25
6	Jiangxi Lushan	16	7	4	5	19	14	25
7	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	17	4	9	4	16	23	21
8	Guangzhou Dandelion	17	5	4	8	18	23	19
9	Guangdong Mingtu	17	3	9	5	17	19	18
10	Wenzhou FC	16	3	6	7	11	19	15
11	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	17	3	6	8	10	18	15
12	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	16	1	6	9	9	18	9

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	Ganzhou Ruishi
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	1-0 W	1-0 W
Jiangxi Lushan	1-2 L	1-0 W
Hubei Istar	0-2 L	4-4 D
Guangdong Mingtu	0-0 D	0-2 L
Xiamen Feilu	1-0 W	0-0 D
Guangzhou Dandelion	2-0 W	0-2 L
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	2-1 W	1-1 D
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	7-0 W	1-0 W
Shenzhen 2028	1-2 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
05/07	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-1	1-2	6	6	L
27/06	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-2	0-2	6	8	L
23/06	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
19/06	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
14/06	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
26/05	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	0-0	2-1	1	1	W
22/05	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	3-0	7-0	2	5	W
09/05	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
05/05	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	0-0	1-0	2	2	W

Ganzhou Ruishi

WWLWLWWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	0	5	D
11/07	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
04/07	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-2	4-4	2	0	D
28/06	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	1-0	1-0	0	4	W
24/06	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-0	1-0	1	1	W
19/06	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
14/06	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
27/05	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	0-2	0-2	1	4	L
22/05	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	1-0	3-0	4	6	W
09/05	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	0-0	1-0	1	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic vs Ganzhou Ruishi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic win (66%). Probabilities: Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 66%, draw 24%, Ganzhou Ruishi 10%.

How many goals are expected in Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic vs Ganzhou Ruishi?

The model expects 2.22 goals (Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 1.7 · Ganzhou Ruishi 0.52), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic vs Ganzhou Ruishi?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.