Football · China Division 2 · 05/08, 11:00

Prediction: Changchun Xidu vs Dalian Young Boy Reserves

Team pages: Changchun Xidu · Dalian Young Boy Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.85Total

Changchun Xidu0.94

Dalian Young Boy Reserves0.91

1X2

34% 34% 33%

Changchun Xidu Draw Dalian Young Boy Reserves

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

Changchun Xidu 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

LDDLDDWLDD

Dalian Young Boy Reserves 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWDWWDDLLL

Head-to-head

Changchun Xidu 0–1–0 Dalian Young Boy Reserves (1 last)

Dalian Young Boy Reserves2-2Changchun Xidu

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Changchun Xidu 1475 · Dalian Young Boy Reserves 1480

	Changchun Xidu	Draw	Dalian Young Boy Reserves
Our model	33%	35%	32%
Market	34%	33%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 1.85 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Changchun Xidu	Dalian Young Boy Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 1.1	0.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.2	2.8 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.60

X2.75

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.82

Under 1.751.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 1.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
02:55 +12’	2.60	2.75	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Changchun Xidu 0–1–0 Dalian Young Boy Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 China Division 2	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	2-2 HT 1-0	Changchun Xidu

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shanghai Port Reserves	18	11	4	3	33	14	37
2	Shandong Taishan Reserves	19	11	4	4	28	17	37
3	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	18	10	3	5	26	15	33
4	Dalian Kewei	19	8	9	2	18	10	33
5	Tai'an Tiankuang	19	8	5	6	23	20	29
6	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	18	4	9	5	16	18	21
7	Nantong Haimen Codion	19	4	9	6	20	20	21
8	Qingdao Red Lions	19	4	9	6	20	17	21
9	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	18	2	12	4	9	14	18
10	Changchun Xidu	18	2	10	6	10	22	16
11	Shanghai Segenda	19	2	8	9	19	33	14
12	Beijing Institute	18	1	6	11	13	35	9

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Changchun Xidu	Dalian Young Boy Reserves
Shanghai Segenda	1-1 D	2-1 W
Shandong Taishan Reserves	1-1 D	2-0 W
Shanghai Port Reserves	0-2 L	1-2 L
Tai'an Tiankuang	1-0 W	0-1 L
Nantong Haimen Codion	0-0 D	2-1 W
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	0-0 D	0-0 D
Dalian Kewei	0-3 L	0-2 L
Qingdao Red Lions	1-1 D	0-0 D
Beijing Institute	0-0 D	1-1 D
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	0-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 6 D 3 L	3 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Dalian Young Boy Reserves (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Changchun Xidu

LDDLDDWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	0-1	1-1	1	7	D
25/07	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-0	1-1	1	1	D
18/07	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
05/07	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	1-0	1-0	1	7	W
27/06	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	0	D
23/06	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
13/06	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	0-1	0-3	3	7	L
07/06	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-1	1-1	6	3	D
27/05	Beijing Institute China Division 2	0-0	0-0	10	2	D
23/05	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-0	0-3	7	2	L

Dalian Young Boy Reserves

LWDWWDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	1-0	1-2	6	1	L
25/07	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
19/07	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-2	1-2	11	2	L
05/07	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
27/06	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
23/06	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
19/06	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-1	2-1	1	3	W
13/06	Beijing Institute China Division 2	1-1	1-1	8	7	D
27/05	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
22/05	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	0-0	0-1	5	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Changchun Xidu vs Dalian Young Boy Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Changchun Xidu win (34%). Probabilities: Changchun Xidu 34%, draw 34%, Dalian Young Boy Reserves 33%.

How many goals are expected in Changchun Xidu vs Dalian Young Boy Reserves?

The model expects 1.85 goals (Changchun Xidu 0.94 · Dalian Young Boy Reserves 0.91), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Changchun Xidu vs Dalian Young Boy Reserves?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.