Football · USA MLS · 31/10, 19:00

Prediction: New York City FC vs CF Montreal

Team pages: New York City FC · CF Montreal

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

New York City FC1.63

CF Montreal1.04

1X2

50% 27% 23%

New York City FC Draw CF Montreal

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

New York City FC 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DDLWLDLLDD

CF Montreal 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWLLDL

Head-to-head

New York City FC 2–4 CF Montreal (6 last)

CF Montreal1-0New York City FC
CF Montreal1-0New York City FC
New York City FC0-1CF Montreal
CF Montreal2-0New York City FC
New York City FC2-0CF Montreal
New York City FC2-0CF Montreal

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CF Montreal: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	New York City FC	CF Montreal
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.3	0.7 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.4	2.4 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.97

Under 31.87

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:48

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.50
X	4.56 → 4.56	Pinn 4.56
2	5.89 → 5.89	Pinn 5.89

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.4%

Time*	1	X	2
01:44 +4’	1.50	4.56	5.89

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · New York City FC 2–0–4 CF Montreal

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 USA MLS	CF Montreal	1-0 HT 1-0	New York City FC
29/06/25 USA MLS	CF Montreal	1-0 HT 1-0	New York City FC
11/05/25 USA MLS	New York City FC	0-1 HT 0-0	CF Montreal
20/10/24 USA MLS	CF Montreal	2-0 HT 2-0	New York City FC
04/07/24 USA MLS	New York City FC	2-0 HT 1-0	CF Montreal
31/08/23 USA MLS	New York City FC	2-0 HT 2-0	CF Montreal

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nashville SC	31	21	7	3	66	23	70
2	New England Revolution	31	17	4	10	51	42	55
3	Inter Miami CF	31	15	10	6	73	53	55
4	Chicago Fire	31	15	6	10	55	46	51
5	Charlotte FC	31	13	8	10	55	48	47
6	Philadelphia Union	31	13	7	11	62	50	46
7	Orlando City SC	31	12	6	13	60	72	42
8	FC Cincinnati	31	11	9	11	64	71	42
9	New York Red Bulls	31	11	6	14	41	56	39
10	Columbus Crew	31	11	5	15	50	49	38
11	Toronto FC	31	8	12	11	48	59	36
12	New York City FC	31	8	11	12	45	43	35
13	DC United	31	7	12	12	38	55	33
14	Atlanta United	31	8	6	17	39	54	30
15	CF Montreal	31	6	7	18	36	62	25

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	New York City FC	CF Montreal
Inter Miami CF	0-2 L	1-7 L
Atlanta United	2-2 D	0-3 L
Nashville SC	0-0 D	0-2 L
Toronto FC	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: New York City FC (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

New York City FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Orlando City SC USA MLS	1-1	2-2	9	5	D
18/10	Los Angeles FC USA MLS	0-1	1-1	10	3	D
15/10	Inter Miami CF USA MLS	0-2	0-2	4	2	L
10/10	Chicago Fire USA MLS	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
27/09	Atlanta United USA MLS	1-1	2-2	3	2	D
19/09	New York Red Bulls USA MLS	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
13/09	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	1-0	2-0	1	4	W
10/09	New England Revolution USA MLS	0-1	1-2	12	2	L
05/09	Nashville SC USA MLS	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
30/08	Toronto FC USA MLS	1-0	1-1	2	6	D

CF Montreal

LLLLLWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Nashville SC USA MLS	0-0	0-2	6	4	L
18/10	Seattle Sounders USA MLS	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
15/10	Atlanta United USA MLS	0-2	0-3	7	3	L
10/10	Toronto FC USA MLS	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
27/09	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	1-0	3-1	4	4	W
20/09	Columbus Crew USA MLS	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
13/09	Colorado Rapids USA MLS	0-1	0-1	1	3	L
10/09	Charlotte FC USA MLS	1-1	1-2	11	3	L
06/09	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	0-0	0-2	1	8	L
30/08	Inter Miami CF USA MLS	1-2	1-7	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in New York City FC vs CF Montreal?

According to our model, the most likely result is a New York City FC win (50%). Probabilities: New York City FC 50%, draw 27%, CF Montreal 23%.

How many goals are expected in New York City FC vs CF Montreal?

The model expects 2.67 goals (New York City FC 1.63 · CF Montreal 1.04), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in New York City FC vs CF Montreal?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.