Prediction: Tukums 2000 vs Riga FC
Team pages: Tukums 2000 · Riga FC
- Riga FC3-1Tukums 2000
- Tukums 20001-3Riga FC
- Riga FC3-3Tukums 2000
- Riga FC0-0Tukums 2000
- Tukums 20000-1Riga FC
- Riga FC4-0Tukums 2000
| Tukums 2000 | Draw | Riga FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 7% | 16% | 77% |
| Market | 9% | 12% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Riga FC (rating 1418 vs 1603).
- H2H favours Riga FC: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tukums 2000 | Riga FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2 | 2.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.4 | 4.2 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tukums 2000 0–2–4 Riga FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/26 Latvia Virsliga | Riga FC | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Tukums 2000 |
| 20/05/26 Latvia Virsliga | Tukums 2000 | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Riga FC |
| 09/04/26 Latvia Virsliga | Riga FC | 3-3 HT 2-1 | Tukums 2000 |
| 24/10/25 Latvia Virsliga | Riga FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tukums 2000 |
| 03/08/25 Latvia Virsliga | Tukums 2000 | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Riga FC |
| 12/07/25 Latvia Cup | Riga FC | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Tukums 2000 |
Standings · Latvia Virsliga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 30 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 71 | 22 | 74 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 86 | 30 | 73 |
| 3 | FK Auda | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 30 | 61 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 41 | 43 | 43 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 35 | 39 |
| 6 | SK Super Nova | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 29 | 40 | 35 |
| 7 | FK Jelgava | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 49 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Grobinas | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 21 | 52 | 26 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 44 | 61 | 24 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 30 | 76 | 18 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tukums 2000 | Riga FC |
|---|---|---|
| SC Grobinas | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| SK Super Nova | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Ogre United | 2-1 W | 4-1 W |
| FK Jelgava | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| FK Auda | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| BFC Daugavpils | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| FK Liepaja | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| RFS | 0-1 L | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 5 L | 4 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Riga FC (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tukums 2000
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | SC Grobinas Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 10/09 | SK Super Nova Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Ogre United Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 29/08 | FK Jelgava Latvia Virsliga |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | FK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 27/07 | RFS Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Riga FC Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | SC Grobinas Latvia Virsliga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
Riga FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | FK Jelgava Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 15/09 | SK Super Nova Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 8 | W |
| 11/09 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 07/09 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 31/08 | FK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga |
1-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | RFS Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | Ogre United Latvia Virsliga |
4-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 02/08 | SC Grobinas Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Tukums 2000 Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 03/07 | FK Jelgava Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tukums 2000 vs Riga FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Riga FC win (78%). Probabilities: Tukums 2000 8%, draw 14%, Riga FC 78%.
How many goals are expected in Tukums 2000 vs Riga FC?
The model expects 3.25 goals (Tukums 2000 0.7 · Riga FC 2.55), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tukums 2000 vs Riga FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.