Football · Estonia Meistriliiga · 17/10, 11:30
Prediction: JK Nomme United vs JK Nomme Kalju
Team pages: JK Nomme United · JK Nomme Kalju
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.37Total
JK Nomme United1.28
JK Nomme Kalju2.09
1X2
JK Nomme United
Draw
JK Nomme Kalju
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
JK Nomme United
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
JK Nomme Kalju
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
JK Nomme United
1–1–4
JK Nomme Kalju
(6 last)
- JK Nomme Kalju1-2JK Nomme United
- JK Nomme United1-3JK Nomme Kalju
- JK Nomme Kalju7-1JK Nomme United
- JK Nomme Kalju3-0JK Nomme United
- JK Nomme United0-4JK Nomme Kalju
- JK Nomme Kalju1-1JK Nomme United
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · JK Nomme United 1412 · JK Nomme Kalju 1501
| JK Nomme United | Draw | JK Nomme Kalju | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 23% | 55% |
| Market | 22% | 23% | 55% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JK Nomme Kalju (rating 1412 vs 1501).
- H2H favours JK Nomme Kalju: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JK Nomme United | JK Nomme Kalju | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 2.6 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3 | 2.9 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Nomme United 1–1–4 JK Nomme Kalju
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09/26 Estonia Meistriliiga | JK Nomme Kalju | 1-2 HT 0-2 | JK Nomme United |
| 03/07/26 Estonia Meistriliiga | JK Nomme United | 1-3 HT 1-3 | JK Nomme Kalju |
| 22/04/26 Estonia Meistriliiga | JK Nomme Kalju | 7-1 HT 2-1 | JK Nomme United |
| 18/09/24 Estonia Meistriliiga | JK Nomme Kalju | 3-0 HT 1-0 | JK Nomme United |
| 19/07/24 Estonia Meistriliiga | JK Nomme United | 0-4 HT 0-1 | JK Nomme Kalju |
| 28/05/24 Estonia Meistriliiga | JK Nomme Kalju | 1-1 HT 1-1 | JK Nomme United |
Standings · Estonia Meistriliiga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 31 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 85 | 22 | 78 |
| 2 | FC Flora Tallinn | 31 | 18 | 1 | 12 | 60 | 44 | 55 |
| 3 | Paide Linnameeskond | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 50 | 38 | 54 |
| 4 | JK Nomme Kalju | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 33 | 51 |
| 5 | JK Tammeka Tartu | 31 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 42 | 49 | 47 |
| 6 | Harju JK Laagri | 31 | 13 | 2 | 16 | 43 | 47 | 41 |
| 7 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 43 | 61 | 36 |
| 8 | FC Kuressaare | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 34 | 49 | 35 |
| 9 | JK Nomme United | 32 | 10 | 1 | 21 | 50 | 74 | 31 |
| 10 | JK Trans Narva | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 24 | 68 | 20 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | JK Nomme United | JK Nomme Kalju |
|---|---|---|
| Harju JK Laagri | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| JK Tammeka Tartu | 0-4 L | 3-1 W |
| FC Flora Tallinn | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Parnu JK Vaprus | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| FC Levadia Tallinn | 0-5 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 5 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: JK Nomme Kalju (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JK Nomme United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 10/10 | JK Tammeka Tartu Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 08/09 | JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 05/09 | Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 14/08 | JK Tammeka Tartu Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | FC Levadia Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
JK Nomme Kalju
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | JK Tammeka Tartu Estonia Meistriliiga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/09 | JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | FC Levadia Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
2-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JK Nomme United vs JK Nomme Kalju?
According to our model, the most likely result is an JK Nomme Kalju win (55%). Probabilities: JK Nomme United 22%, draw 23%, JK Nomme Kalju 55%.
How many goals are expected in JK Nomme United vs JK Nomme Kalju?
The model expects 3.37 goals (JK Nomme United 1.28 · JK Nomme Kalju 2.09), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in JK Nomme United vs JK Nomme Kalju?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.