Football · Estonia Meistriliiga · 18/10, 15:00
Prediction: FC Kuressaare vs FC Levadia Tallinn
Team pages: FC Kuressaare · FC Levadia Tallinn
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.18Total
FC Kuressaare0.77
FC Levadia Tallinn2.42
1X2
FC Kuressaare
Draw
FC Levadia Tallinn
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2 12%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Kuressaare
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
FC Levadia Tallinn
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Kuressaare
0–6
FC Levadia Tallinn
(6 last)
- FC Levadia Tallinn4-0FC Kuressaare
- FC Kuressaare1-2FC Levadia Tallinn
- FC Levadia Tallinn2-0FC Kuressaare
- FC Kuressaare0-3FC Levadia Tallinn
- FC Levadia Tallinn2-0FC Kuressaare
- FC Kuressaare1-2FC Levadia Tallinn
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Kuressaare 1509 · FC Levadia Tallinn 1658
| FC Kuressaare | Draw | FC Levadia Tallinn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 18% | 73% |
| Market | 10% | 17% | 74% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Levadia Tallinn (rating 1509 vs 1658).
- H2H favours FC Levadia Tallinn: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Kuressaare | FC Levadia Tallinn | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 3 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.2 | 2.8 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Kuressaare 0–0–6 FC Levadia Tallinn
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/26 Estonia Meistriliiga | FC Levadia Tallinn | 4-0 HT 2-0 | FC Kuressaare |
| 02/05/26 Estonia Meistriliiga | FC Kuressaare | 1-2 HT 1-0 | FC Levadia Tallinn |
| 08/03/26 Estonia Meistriliiga | FC Levadia Tallinn | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Kuressaare |
| 18/10/25 Estonia Meistriliiga | FC Kuressaare | 0-3 HT 0-3 | FC Levadia Tallinn |
| 01/08/25 Estonia Meistriliiga | FC Levadia Tallinn | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Kuressaare |
| 14/06/25 Estonia Meistriliiga | FC Kuressaare | 1-2 HT 0-1 | FC Levadia Tallinn |
Standings · Estonia Meistriliiga
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 31 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 85 | 22 | 78 |
| 2 | FC Flora Tallinn | 31 | 18 | 1 | 12 | 60 | 44 | 55 |
| 3 | Paide Linnameeskond | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 50 | 38 | 54 |
| 4 | JK Nomme Kalju | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 33 | 51 |
| 5 | JK Tammeka Tartu | 31 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 42 | 49 | 47 |
| 6 | Harju JK Laagri | 31 | 13 | 2 | 16 | 43 | 47 | 41 |
| 7 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 43 | 61 | 36 |
| 8 | FC Kuressaare | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 34 | 49 | 35 |
| 9 | JK Nomme United | 32 | 10 | 1 | 21 | 50 | 74 | 31 |
| 10 | JK Trans Narva | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 24 | 68 | 20 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Kuressaare | FC Levadia Tallinn |
|---|---|---|
| JK Trans Narva | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| FC Flora Tallinn | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Harju JK Laagri | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| JK Tammeka Tartu | 1-3 L | 6-0 W |
| Parnu JK Vaprus | 2-2 D | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Levadia Tallinn (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Kuressaare
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 11/10 | FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 18/09 | Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | JK Tammeka Tartu Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 09/09 | FC Levadia Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | JK Tammeka Tartu Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
3-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 07/08 | Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
FC Levadia Tallinn
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 20/09 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 17/09 | JK Tammeka Tartu Estonia Meistriliiga |
3-0 | 6-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 09/09 | FC Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-2 | 3-2 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 21/08 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Kuressaare vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Levadia Tallinn win (73%). Probabilities: FC Kuressaare 9%, draw 17%, FC Levadia Tallinn 73%.
How many goals are expected in FC Kuressaare vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
The model expects 3.18 goals (FC Kuressaare 0.77 · FC Levadia Tallinn 2.42), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Kuressaare vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.