Prediction: RFS vs FK Jelgava
Team pages: RFS · FK Jelgava
See it on the live radar ↗- FK Jelgava0-1RFS
- RFS2-0FK Jelgava
- RFS4-0FK Jelgava
- FK Jelgava0-1RFS
- RFS1-4FK Jelgava
- FK Jelgava0-1RFS
| RFS | Draw | FK Jelgava | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 81% | 15% | 5% |
| Market | 84% | 11% | 5% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RFS (rating 1568 vs 1423).
- H2H favours RFS: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| RFS | FK Jelgava | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 0/30/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.3 | 1.9 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · RFS 5–0–1 FK Jelgava
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/26 Latvia Virsliga | FK Jelgava | 0-1 HT 0-1 | RFS |
| 12/07/26 Latvia Cup | RFS | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FK Jelgava |
| 21/05/26 Latvia Virsliga | RFS | 4-0 HT 1-0 | FK Jelgava |
| 08/04/26 Latvia Virsliga | FK Jelgava | 0-1 HT 0-1 | RFS |
| 13/09/25 Latvia Virsliga | RFS | 1-4 HT 0-3 | FK Jelgava |
| 12/07/25 Latvia Cup | FK Jelgava | 0-1 HT 0-0 | RFS |
Standings · Latvia Virsliga
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Riga FC | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 88 | 30 | 76 |
| 2 | RFS | 30 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 71 | 22 | 74 |
| 3 | FK Auda | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 30 | 61 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 41 | 43 | 43 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 35 | 39 |
| 6 | SK Super Nova | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 41 | 38 |
| 7 | FK Jelgava | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 49 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Grobinas | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 22 | 54 | 26 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 63 | 24 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 30 | 76 | 18 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | RFS | FK Jelgava |
|---|---|---|
| FK Auda | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| BFC Daugavpils | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| FK Liepaja | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Ogre United | 3-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Riga FC | 3-3 D | 0-1 L |
| SC Grobinas | 6-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Tukums 2000 | 1-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: RFS (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
RFS
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 07/09 | FK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Ogre United Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Riga FC Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 10/08 | SC Grobinas Latvia Virsliga |
4-0 | 6-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 27/07 | Tukums 2000 Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 20/07 | FK Jelgava Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 30/06 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
FK Jelgava
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Riga FC Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | SC Grobinas Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | SK Super Nova Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Tukums 2000 Latvia Virsliga |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Ogre United Latvia Virsliga |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 01/08 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | FK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/07 | RFS Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/07 | Riga FC Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in RFS vs FK Jelgava?
According to our model, the most likely result is a RFS win (83%). Probabilities: RFS 83%, draw 13%, FK Jelgava 5%.
How many goals are expected in RFS vs FK Jelgava?
The model expects 2.94 goals (RFS 2.47 · FK Jelgava 0.47), with a 57% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in RFS vs FK Jelgava?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.