Football · Australia Western Australia State League 1 · 01/08, 09:00
Prediction: Murdoch University Melville FC vs Curtin University SC
Team pages: Murdoch University Melville FC · Curtin University SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.53Total
Murdoch University Melville FC2.06
Curtin University SC1.47
1X2
Murdoch University Melville FC
Draw
Curtin University SC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Murdoch University Melville FC
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Curtin University SC
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Murdoch University Melville FC
3–1–0
Curtin University SC
(4 last)
- Curtin University SC2-3Murdoch University Melville FC
- Murdoch University Melville FC2-2Curtin University SC
- Curtin University SC6-7Murdoch University Melville FC
- Curtin University SC0-1Murdoch University Melville FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Murdoch University Melville FC 1474 · Curtin University SC 1414
| Murdoch University Melville FC | Draw | Curtin University SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 23% | 27% |
| Market | 50% | 24% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.53 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Murdoch University Melville FC (rating 1474 vs 1414).
- H2H favours Murdoch University Melville FC: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Murdoch University Melville FC | Curtin University SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.2 | 1.1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 3.6 | 2.2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.2 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Murdoch University Melville FC 3–1–0 Curtin University SC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Curtin University SC | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Murdoch University Melville FC |
| 19/07/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Murdoch University Melville FC | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Curtin University SC |
| 04/06/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Curtin University SC | 6-7 HT 2-5 | Murdoch University Melville FC |
| 09/02/20 Australia Friendlies | Curtin University SC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Murdoch University Melville FC |
Standings · Australia Western Australia State League 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Floreat Athena | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 42 | 18 | 42 |
| 2 | UWA-Nedlands FC | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 41 | 23 | 38 |
| 3 | Mandurah City | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 43 | 32 | 33 |
| 4 | Joondalup City | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 32 |
| 5 | Inglewood United | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 28 |
| 6 | Kingsley Westside | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 26 | 26 |
| 7 | Quinns FC | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 34 | 24 |
| 8 | Gwelup Croatia SC | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 36 | 21 |
| 9 | Murdoch University Melville FC | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 33 | 37 | 19 |
| 10 | Cockburn City | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 38 | 19 |
| 11 | Subiaco AFC | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 29 | 42 | 13 |
| 12 | Curtin University SC | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 33 | 9 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Murdoch University Melville FC | Curtin University SC |
|---|---|---|
| Gwelup Croatia SC | 5-3 W | 0-0 D |
| Joondalup City | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Subiaco AFC | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Floreat Athena | 2-2 D | 0-4 L |
| Quinns FC | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Inglewood United | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Cockburn City | 2-3 L | 3-4 L |
| Mandurah City | 1-2 L | 3-4 L |
| Kingsley Westside | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| UWA-Nedlands FC | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 5 L | 1 W 2 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Murdoch University Melville FC (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Murdoch University Melville FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 5-3 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 04/07 | Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 27/06 | Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/06 | Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
Curtin University SC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/06 | Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Murdoch University Melville FC vs Curtin University SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Murdoch University Melville FC win (50%). Probabilities: Murdoch University Melville FC 50%, draw 23%, Curtin University SC 27%.
How many goals are expected in Murdoch University Melville FC vs Curtin University SC?
The model expects 3.53 goals (Murdoch University Melville FC 2.06 · Curtin University SC 1.47), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Murdoch University Melville FC vs Curtin University SC?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.