Football · Australia Western Australia State League 1 · 08/08, 08:00

Prediction: Curtin University SC vs Subiaco AFC

Team pages: Curtin University SC · Subiaco AFC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

Curtin University SC1.54

Subiaco AFC1.65

1X2

35% 24% 40%

Curtin University SC Draw Subiaco AFC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Curtin University SC 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Subiaco AFC 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Curtin University SC 2–2 Subiaco AFC (4 last)

Subiaco AFC0-2Curtin University SC
Subiaco AFC1-2Curtin University SC
Curtin University SC1-3Subiaco AFC
Subiaco AFC2-0Curtin University SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Curtin University SC 1441 · Subiaco AFC 1428

	Curtin University SC	Draw	Subiaco AFC
Our model	35%	26%	40%
Market	36%	24%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Curtin University SC	Subiaco AFC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.1	1.4 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.6 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5	2.2 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.80

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
07:09 +3’	2.50	3.80	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Curtin University SC 2–0–2 Subiaco AFC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Australia Western Australia State League 1	Subiaco AFC	0-2 HT 0-1	Curtin University SC
12/07/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1	Subiaco AFC	1-2 HT 0-0	Curtin University SC
06/05/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1	Curtin University SC	1-3 HT 1-3	Subiaco AFC
23/09/23 Australia Western Australia State League 1	Subiaco AFC	2-0 HT 2-0	Curtin University SC

Standings · Australia Western Australia State League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Floreat Athena	19	14	3	2	44	18	45
2	UWA-Nedlands FC	19	13	2	4	44	23	41
3	Mandurah City	19	10	3	6	43	35	33
4	Joondalup City	19	10	2	7	34	30	32
5	Inglewood United	19	8	4	7	20	22	28
6	Quinns FC	19	8	3	8	28	36	27
7	Kingsley Westside	19	8	2	9	29	28	26
8	Gwelup Croatia SC	19	6	6	7	30	37	24
9	Cockburn City	19	6	4	9	32	39	22
10	Murdoch University Melville FC	19	4	7	8	34	39	19
11	Subiaco AFC	19	4	1	14	30	44	13
12	Curtin University SC	19	3	3	13	17	34	12

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Curtin University SC	Subiaco AFC
Murdoch University Melville FC	2-1 W	1-1 D
UWA-Nedlands FC	1-2 L	2-3 L
Mandurah City	3-4 L	3-5 L
Floreat Athena	0-4 L	1-2 L
Cockburn City	3-4 L	1-2 L
Gwelup Croatia SC	0-0 D	1-2 L
Kingsley Westside	0-1 L	2-1 W
Quinns FC	2-2 D	2-1 W
Inglewood United	0-1 L	0-2 L
Joondalup City	0-2 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 7 L	2 W 1 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Curtin University SC (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Curtin University SC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	2-1	2-1	6	1	W
25/07	UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-1	1-2	3	2	L
18/07	Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-1	3-4	–	–	L
11/07	Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
04/07	Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1	2-3	3-4	6	4	L
27/06	Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
20/06	Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
13/06	Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
06/06	Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
30/05	Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	0-2	4	0	L

Subiaco AFC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	1-2	8	3	L
25/07	Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
18/07	Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
11/07	Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-1	1-1	6	0	D
04/07	Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
27/06	Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-3	1-4	–	–	L
20/06	Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
13/06	Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-3	3-5	4	6	L
06/06	Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-2	1-2	5	2	L
30/05	UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-2	2-3	5	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Curtin University SC vs Subiaco AFC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Subiaco AFC win (40%). Probabilities: Curtin University SC 35%, draw 24%, Subiaco AFC 40%.

How many goals are expected in Curtin University SC vs Subiaco AFC?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Curtin University SC 1.54 · Subiaco AFC 1.65), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Curtin University SC vs Subiaco AFC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.