Football · Australia Western Australia State League 1 · 08/08, 08:00
Prediction: Murdoch University Melville FC vs UWA-Nedlands FC
Team pages: Murdoch University Melville FC · UWA-Nedlands FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.6Total
Murdoch University Melville FC1.24
UWA-Nedlands FC2.36
1X2
Murdoch University Melville FC
Draw
UWA-Nedlands FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Murdoch University Melville FC
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
UWA-Nedlands FC
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Murdoch University Melville FC
1–5
UWA-Nedlands FC
(6 last)
- UWA-Nedlands FC3-0Murdoch University Melville FC
- UWA-Nedlands FC1-0Murdoch University Melville FC
- Murdoch University Melville FC2-4UWA-Nedlands FC
- UWA-Nedlands FC0-1Murdoch University Melville FC
- Murdoch University Melville FC1-5UWA-Nedlands FC
- UWA-Nedlands FC3-2Murdoch University Melville FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Murdoch University Melville FC 1447 · UWA-Nedlands FC 1565
| Murdoch University Melville FC | Draw | UWA-Nedlands FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 21% | 61% |
| Market | 19% | 19% | 62% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.6 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UWA-Nedlands FC (rating 1447 vs 1565).
- H2H favours UWA-Nedlands FC: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Murdoch University Melville FC | UWA-Nedlands FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2.1 | 2.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.6 | 3 / 7.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Murdoch University Melville FC 1–0–5 UWA-Nedlands FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | UWA-Nedlands FC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Murdoch University Melville FC |
| 05/07/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | UWA-Nedlands FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Murdoch University Melville FC |
| 26/04/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Murdoch University Melville FC | 2-4 HT 2-3 | UWA-Nedlands FC |
| 24/08/24 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | UWA-Nedlands FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Murdoch University Melville FC |
| 08/06/24 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Murdoch University Melville FC | 1-5 HT 1-2 | UWA-Nedlands FC |
| 26/08/23 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | UWA-Nedlands FC | 3-2 HT 3-1 | Murdoch University Melville FC |
Standings · Australia Western Australia State League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Floreat Athena | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 44 | 18 | 45 |
| 2 | UWA-Nedlands FC | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 41 |
| 3 | Mandurah City | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 35 | 33 |
| 4 | Joondalup City | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 30 | 32 |
| 5 | Inglewood United | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 28 |
| 6 | Quinns FC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 36 | 27 |
| 7 | Kingsley Westside | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 26 |
| 8 | Gwelup Croatia SC | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 37 | 24 |
| 9 | Cockburn City | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 39 | 22 |
| 10 | Murdoch University Melville FC | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 39 | 19 |
| 11 | Subiaco AFC | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 30 | 44 | 13 |
| 12 | Curtin University SC | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 34 | 12 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Murdoch University Melville FC | UWA-Nedlands FC |
|---|---|---|
| Curtin University SC | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Gwelup Croatia SC | 5-3 W | 2-0 W |
| Joondalup City | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Subiaco AFC | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Floreat Athena | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Quinns FC | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Inglewood United | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Cockburn City | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Mandurah City | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Kingsley Westside | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 5 L | 7 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: UWA-Nedlands FC (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Murdoch University Melville FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 5-3 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 04/07 | Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 27/06 | Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/06 | Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
UWA-Nedlands FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-3 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 14 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Murdoch University Melville FC vs UWA-Nedlands FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an UWA-Nedlands FC win (62%). Probabilities: Murdoch University Melville FC 19%, draw 20%, UWA-Nedlands FC 62%.
How many goals are expected in Murdoch University Melville FC vs UWA-Nedlands FC?
The model expects 3.6 goals (Murdoch University Melville FC 1.24 · UWA-Nedlands FC 2.36), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Murdoch University Melville FC vs UWA-Nedlands FC?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.