Football · Australia Western Australia State League 1 · 08/08, 08:00

Prediction: Inglewood United vs Joondalup City

Team pages: Inglewood United · Joondalup City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

Inglewood United1.38

Joondalup City1.59

1X2

33% 25% 42%

Inglewood United Draw Joondalup City

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Inglewood United 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Joondalup City 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Inglewood United 3–1–1 Joondalup City (5 last)

Joondalup City0-1Inglewood United
Inglewood United4-1Joondalup City
Joondalup City3-1Inglewood United
Inglewood United1-1Joondalup City
Joondalup City0-2Inglewood United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Inglewood United 1538 · Joondalup City 1515

	Inglewood United	Draw	Joondalup City
Our model	32%	27%	41%
Market	33%	24%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Inglewood United: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Inglewood United	Joondalup City
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.1	2.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 6.2	1 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	1.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.75

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
07:09 +3’	2.70	3.75	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Inglewood United 3–1–1 Joondalup City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Australia Western Australia State League 1	Joondalup City	0-1 HT 0-1	Inglewood United
03/02/26 Australia Friendlies	Inglewood United	4-1 HT 2-0	Joondalup City
24/06/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1	Joondalup City	3-1 HT 1-1	Inglewood United
22/03/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1	Inglewood United	1-1 HT 0-1	Joondalup City
23/04/22 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying	Joondalup City	0-2 HT 0-1	Inglewood United

Standings · Australia Western Australia State League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Floreat Athena	19	14	3	2	44	18	45
2	UWA-Nedlands FC	19	13	2	4	44	23	41
3	Mandurah City	19	10	3	6	43	35	33
4	Joondalup City	19	10	2	7	34	30	32
5	Inglewood United	19	8	4	7	20	22	28
6	Quinns FC	19	8	3	8	28	36	27
7	Kingsley Westside	19	8	2	9	29	28	26
8	Gwelup Croatia SC	19	6	6	7	30	37	24
9	Cockburn City	19	6	4	9	32	39	22
10	Murdoch University Melville FC	19	4	7	8	34	39	19
11	Subiaco AFC	19	4	1	14	30	44	13
12	Curtin University SC	19	3	3	13	17	34	12

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Inglewood United	Joondalup City
Quinns FC	2-3 L	3-1 W
Mandurah City	1-1 D	1-2 L
UWA-Nedlands FC	3-1 W	1-1 D
Gwelup Croatia SC	1-2 L	2-1 W
Subiaco AFC	2-0 W	4-1 W
Floreat Athena	0-2 L	3-1 W
Murdoch University Melville FC	1-1 D	3-2 W
Kingsley Westside	1-0 W	2-2 D
Curtin University SC	1-0 W	2-0 W
Cockburn City	2-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 3 L	6 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Joondalup City (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Inglewood United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
25/07	Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
18/07	UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	3-1	3-1	–	–	W
11/07	Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-1	1-2	7	4	L
04/07	Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
27/06	Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
20/06	Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
13/06	Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
06/06	Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	1-0	9	2	W
30/05	Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-1	2-1	8	5	W

Joondalup City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
25/07	Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
18/07	Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
11/07	Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
04/07	Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
27/06	Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1	3-1	4-1	–	–	W
20/06	Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
13/06	Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
06/06	UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	1-1	1	3	D
30/05	Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	2-0	5	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Inglewood United vs Joondalup City?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Joondalup City win (42%). Probabilities: Inglewood United 33%, draw 25%, Joondalup City 42%.

How many goals are expected in Inglewood United vs Joondalup City?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Inglewood United 1.38 · Joondalup City 1.59), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Inglewood United vs Joondalup City?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.