Football · Australia Western Australia State League 1 · 08/08, 08:00

Prediction: Floreat Athena vs Cockburn City

Team pages: Floreat Athena · Cockburn City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

Floreat Athena2.24

Cockburn City1.09

1X2

63% 19% 17%

Floreat Athena Draw Cockburn City

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Floreat Athena 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWLLWDWWWW

Cockburn City 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWDLWLLLW

Head-to-head

Floreat Athena 2–2–2 Cockburn City (6 last)

Cockburn City0-0Floreat Athena
Cockburn City1-3Floreat Athena
Cockburn City1-2Floreat Athena
Floreat Athena1-2Cockburn City
Floreat Athena3-3Cockburn City
Cockburn City3-0Floreat Athena

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Floreat Athena 1552 · Cockburn City 1490

	Floreat Athena	Draw	Cockburn City
Our model	63%	21%	16%
Market	64%	18%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Floreat Athena (rating 1552 vs 1490).
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Floreat Athena	Cockburn City
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.2	1.7 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.3	3 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.3	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.40

X5.00

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.85

2 (+1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
07:05 +7’	1.40	5.00	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Floreat Athena 2–2–2 Cockburn City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Australia Western Australia State League 1	Cockburn City	0-0 HT 0-0	Floreat Athena
22/07/23 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Cockburn City	1-3 HT 1-1	Floreat Athena
21/06/23 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying	Cockburn City	1-2 HT 1-2	Floreat Athena
20/05/23 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Floreat Athena	1-2 HT 0-2	Cockburn City
09/07/22 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Floreat Athena	3-3 HT 1-2	Cockburn City
16/04/22 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Cockburn City	3-0 HT 1-0	Floreat Athena

Standings · Australia Western Australia State League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Floreat Athena	19	14	3	2	44	18	45
2	UWA-Nedlands FC	19	13	2	4	44	23	41
3	Mandurah City	19	10	3	6	43	35	33
4	Joondalup City	19	10	2	7	34	30	32
5	Inglewood United	19	8	4	7	20	22	28
6	Quinns FC	19	8	3	8	28	36	27
7	Kingsley Westside	19	8	2	9	29	28	26
8	Gwelup Croatia SC	19	6	6	7	30	37	24
9	Cockburn City	19	6	4	9	32	39	22
10	Murdoch University Melville FC	19	4	7	8	34	39	19
11	Subiaco AFC	19	4	1	14	30	44	13
12	Curtin University SC	19	3	3	13	17	34	12

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Floreat Athena	Cockburn City
Kingsley Westside	2-0 W	0-2 L
Subiaco AFC	2-1 W	2-1 W
Quinns FC	2-1 W	1-3 L
Curtin University SC	4-0 W	4-3 W
Murdoch University Melville FC	2-2 D	3-2 W
Inglewood United	2-0 W	1-2 L
Joondalup City	1-3 L	3-1 W
UWA-Nedlands FC	2-3 L	1-2 L
Gwelup Croatia SC	4-0 W	0-2 L
Mandurah City	1-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Floreat Athena (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Floreat Athena

LWLLWDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
25/07	Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
18/07	Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	2-0	2-1	5	3	W
11/07	Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
04/07	Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
27/06	Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
20/06	Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
13/06	UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	2-0	2-3	–	–	L
05/06	Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	4-0	8	3	W
30/05	Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	1-2	–	–	L

Cockburn City

LWWDLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
25/07	Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
18/07	Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
11/07	Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
04/07	Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1	3-2	4-3	6	4	W
27/06	UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
20/06	Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
13/06	Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	3-2	8	6	W
06/06	Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1	2-0	2-1	5	2	W
30/05	Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	1-2	8	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Floreat Athena vs Cockburn City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Floreat Athena win (63%). Probabilities: Floreat Athena 63%, draw 19%, Cockburn City 17%.

How many goals are expected in Floreat Athena vs Cockburn City?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Floreat Athena 2.24 · Cockburn City 1.09), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Floreat Athena vs Cockburn City?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.