Football · Australia Western Australia State League 1 · 01/08, 09:00

Prediction: UWA-Nedlands FC vs Mandurah City

Team pages: UWA-Nedlands FC · Mandurah City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.63Total

UWA-Nedlands FC2.14

Mandurah City1.48

1X2

52% 22% 26%

UWA-Nedlands FC Draw Mandurah City

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

UWA-Nedlands FC 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Mandurah City 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

UWA-Nedlands FC 1–1–4 Mandurah City (6 last)

Mandurah City3-1UWA-Nedlands FC
Mandurah City3-0UWA-Nedlands FC
Mandurah City3-2UWA-Nedlands FC
UWA-Nedlands FC1-1Mandurah City
Mandurah City5-2UWA-Nedlands FC
UWA-Nedlands FC3-2Mandurah City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UWA-Nedlands FC 1542 · Mandurah City 1594

	UWA-Nedlands FC	Draw	Mandurah City
Our model	52%	22%	26%
Market	52%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mandurah City (rating 1542 vs 1594).
H2H favours Mandurah City: 4-1-1.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UWA-Nedlands FC	Mandurah City
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.2	2.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 8	3.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.00

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
07:24 +46’	1.73	4.00	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · UWA-Nedlands FC 1–1–4 Mandurah City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Australia Western Australia State League 1	Mandurah City	3-1 HT 0-1	UWA-Nedlands FC
17/05/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1	Mandurah City	3-0 HT 2-0	UWA-Nedlands FC
10/08/24 Australia Western Australia State League 1	Mandurah City	3-2 HT 1-1	UWA-Nedlands FC
25/05/24 Australia Western Australia State League 1	UWA-Nedlands FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Mandurah City
08/07/23 Australia Western Australia State League 1	Mandurah City	5-2 HT 3-1	UWA-Nedlands FC
15/04/23 Australia Western Australia State League 1	UWA-Nedlands FC	3-2 HT 0-2	Mandurah City

Standings · Australia Western Australia State League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Floreat Athena	18	13	3	2	42	18	42
2	UWA-Nedlands FC	18	12	2	4	41	23	38
3	Mandurah City	18	10	3	5	43	32	33
4	Joondalup City	18	10	2	6	33	27	32
5	Inglewood United	18	8	4	6	18	19	28
6	Kingsley Westside	18	8	2	8	29	26	26
7	Quinns FC	18	7	3	8	25	34	24
8	Gwelup Croatia SC	18	5	6	7	28	36	21
9	Murdoch University Melville FC	18	4	7	7	33	37	19
10	Cockburn City	18	5	4	9	29	38	19
11	Subiaco AFC	18	4	1	13	29	42	13
12	Curtin University SC	18	2	3	13	15	33	9

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UWA-Nedlands FC	Mandurah City
Curtin University SC	2-1 W	4-3 W
Inglewood United	1-3 L	1-1 D
Quinns FC	1-2 L	4-0 W
Kingsley Westside	3-0 W	3-1 W
Cockburn City	2-1 W	2-2 D
Gwelup Croatia SC	2-0 W	2-2 D
Floreat Athena	3-2 W	2-1 W
Joondalup City	1-1 D	2-1 W
Subiaco AFC	3-2 W	5-3 W
Murdoch University Melville FC	3-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	7 W 1 D 2 L	7 W 3 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UWA-Nedlands FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
18/07	Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-3	1-3	–	–	L
11/07	Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
04/07	Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
27/06	Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
20/06	Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
13/06	Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-2	3-2	–	–	W
06/06	Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-1	1-1	14	3	D
30/05	Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1	2-1	3-2	4	5	W
23/05	Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	3-0	6	1	W

Mandurah City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
18/07	Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	4-3	–	–	W
11/07	Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
04/07	Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
27/06	Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
20/06	Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
13/06	Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1	3-1	5-3	4	6	W
06/06	Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	2-1	4	2	W
30/05	Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
23/05	Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	4-0	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UWA-Nedlands FC vs Mandurah City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a UWA-Nedlands FC win (52%). Probabilities: UWA-Nedlands FC 52%, draw 22%, Mandurah City 26%.

How many goals are expected in UWA-Nedlands FC vs Mandurah City?

The model expects 3.63 goals (UWA-Nedlands FC 2.14 · Mandurah City 1.48), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in UWA-Nedlands FC vs Mandurah City?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.