Prediction: New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo
Team pages: New England Revolution · Houston Dynamo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
New England Revolution1.51
Houston Dynamo1.4
1X2
New England Revolution
Draw
Houston Dynamo
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
New England Revolution
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Houston Dynamo
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
New England Revolution
2–1–3
Houston Dynamo
(6 last)
- Houston Dynamo3-2New England Revolution
- Houston Dynamo3-3New England Revolution
- Houston Dynamo2-1New England Revolution
- New England Revolution3-0Houston Dynamo
- Houston Dynamo3-1New England Revolution
- New England Revolution2-1Houston Dynamo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · New England Revolution 1496 · Houston Dynamo 1570
| New England Revolution | Draw | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 27% | 34% |
| Market | 39% | 28% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Houston Dynamo (rating 1496 vs 1570).
- H2H favours Houston Dynamo: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| New England Revolution | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 1.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.8 | 1.3 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · New England Revolution 2–1–3 Houston Dynamo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 America Friendlies | Houston Dynamo | 3-2 | New England Revolution |
| 03/02/25 World Club Friendlies | Houston Dynamo | 3-3 | New England Revolution |
| 03/10/24 USA MLS | Houston Dynamo | 2-1 HT 0-0 | New England Revolution |
| 05/03/23 USA MLS | New England Revolution | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Houston Dynamo |
| 14/09/22 USA MLS | Houston Dynamo | 3-1 HT 1-0 | New England Revolution |
| 30/06/19 USA MLS | New England Revolution | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Houston Dynamo |
Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 34 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 19 | 34 |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 24 | 33 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 32 |
| 5 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 27 |
| 6 | FC Dallas | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 25 | 27 |
| 7 | St. Louis City SC | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 26 |
| 8 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 33 | 24 |
| 9 | Seattle Sounders | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 24 |
| 10 | Minnesota United | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 25 | 24 |
| 11 | Colorado Rapids | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 25 | 22 |
| 12 | LA Galaxy | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 29 | 22 |
| 13 | San Diego FC | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 21 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 17 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 46 | 14 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
New England Revolution
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | CF Montreal USA MLS |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 26/07 | Atlanta United USA MLS |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/07 | Toronto FC USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Charlotte FC USA MLS |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Minnesota United USA MLS |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 14/05 | Nashville SC USA MLS |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Philadelphia Union USA MLS |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Charlotte FC USA MLS |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 30/04 | Orlando City SC USA US Open Cup |
2-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Inter Miami CF USA MLS |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
Houston Dynamo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Sporting Kansas City USA MLS |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Austin FC USA MLS |
3-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 23/07 | DC United USA MLS |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 16/07 | America de Cali Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | LA Galaxy USA MLS |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 20/05 | St. Louis City SC USA US Open Cup |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 17/05 | Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 14/05 | Real Salt Lake USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 11/05 | Los Angeles FC USA MLS |
2-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Colorado Rapids USA MLS |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a New England Revolution win (39%). Probabilities: New England Revolution 39%, draw 27%, Houston Dynamo 34%.
How many goals are expected in New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo?
The model expects 2.9 goals (New England Revolution 1.51 · Houston Dynamo 1.4), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.